Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Denver's high temperature on May 16 around 79-82°F under a building upper-level ridge promoting downslope flow and above-normal warmth, explaining the tight clustering of trader odds with 80-81°F at 33% and 78-79°F at 25.5%. Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud cover—thicker cumulus could limit peaks to the upper 70s via reduced solar insolation, while clearer skies and light southerly winds favor 82°F+. Recent overnight model runs refined this outlook after yesterday's warm-up from lingering post-snow effects, with historical May 16 normal at 72°F underscoring the mild surge. Watch morning NWS updates for final convective risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 14%
НОВЕ
$16,841 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,841 Обс.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
16%
84°F or higher
3%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 14%
НОВЕ
$16,841 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,841 Обс.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
$10,685 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,610 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$639 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$574 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$887 Обс.
3%
74-75°F
$459 Обс.
4%
76-77°F
$186 Обс.
14%
78-79°F
$421 Обс.
31%
80-81°F
$379 Обс.
33%
82-83°F
$410 Обс.
16%
84°F or higher
$621 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Denver's high temperature on May 16 around 79-82°F under a building upper-level ridge promoting downslope flow and above-normal warmth, explaining the tight clustering of trader odds with 80-81°F at 33% and 78-79°F at 25.5%. Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud cover—thicker cumulus could limit peaks to the upper 70s via reduced solar insolation, while clearer skies and light southerly winds favor 82°F+. Recent overnight model runs refined this outlook after yesterday's warm-up from lingering post-snow effects, with historical May 16 normal at 72°F underscoring the mild surge. Watch morning NWS updates for final convective risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,841Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Denver's high temperature on May 16 around 79-82°F under a building upper-level ridge promoting downslope flow and above-normal warmth, explaining the tight clustering of trader odds with 80-81°F at 33% and 78-79°F at 25.5%. Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud cover—thicker cumulus could limit peaks to the upper 70s via reduced solar insolation, while clearer skies and light southerly winds favor 82°F+. Recent overnight model runs refined this outlook after yesterday's warm-up from lingering post-snow effects, with historical May 16 normal at 72°F underscoring the mild surge. Watch morning NWS updates for final convective risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$16,841Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Denver's high temperature on May 16 around 79-82°F under a building upper-level ridge promoting downslope flow and above-normal warmth, explaining the tight clustering of trader odds with 80-81°F at 33% and 78-79°F at 25.5%. Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud cover—thicker cumulus could limit peaks to the upper 70s via reduced solar insolation, while clearer skies and light southerly winds favor 82°F+. Recent overnight model runs refined this outlook after yesterday's warm-up from lingering post-snow effects, with historical May 16 normal at 72°F underscoring the mild surge. Watch morning NWS updates for final convective risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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