Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.7% implied probability to a high temperature of 74°F or higher in Denver on May 15, driven by near-unanimous National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA forecasts projecting 80-87°F under mostly sunny skies. This positioning reflects a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting warm air subsidence, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by aligned GFS and ECMWF model ensembles in recent runs. Yesterday's observed high near 87°F amid an ongoing heat wave—well above May climatological averages of 75-78°F—further bolsters confidence. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or a weak shortwave disturbance introducing cooler air aloft, though current observations show stable conditions; monitor NWS updates through evening for any refinements ahead of final measurements at Denver International Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on May 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
74°F or higher 99.8%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
55°F or below <1%
$50,267 Обс.
$50,267 Обс.
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
100%
74°F or higher 99.8%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
55°F or below <1%
$50,267 Обс.
$50,267 Обс.
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
$17,460 Обс.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,554 Обс.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,032 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,179 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,890 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,919 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,620 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,210 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,493 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$7,148 Обс.
<1%
74°F or higher
$6,761 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.7% implied probability to a high temperature of 74°F or higher in Denver on May 15, driven by near-unanimous National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA forecasts projecting 80-87°F under mostly sunny skies. This positioning reflects a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting warm air subsidence, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by aligned GFS and ECMWF model ensembles in recent runs. Yesterday's observed high near 87°F amid an ongoing heat wave—well above May climatological averages of 75-78°F—further bolsters confidence. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or a weak shortwave disturbance introducing cooler air aloft, though current observations show stable conditions; monitor NWS updates through evening for any refinements ahead of final measurements at Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$50,267Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.7% implied probability to a high temperature of 74°F or higher in Denver on May 15, driven by near-unanimous National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA forecasts projecting 80-87°F under mostly sunny skies. This positioning reflects a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting warm air subsidence, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by aligned GFS and ECMWF model ensembles in recent runs. Yesterday's observed high near 87°F amid an ongoing heat wave—well above May climatological averages of 75-78°F—further bolsters confidence. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or a weak shortwave disturbance introducing cooler air aloft, though current observations show stable conditions; monitor NWS updates through evening for any refinements ahead of final measurements at Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$50,267Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.7% implied probability to a high temperature of 74°F or higher in Denver on May 15, driven by near-unanimous National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA forecasts projecting 80-87°F under mostly sunny skies. This positioning reflects a persistent upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting warm air subsidence, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, as confirmed by aligned GFS and ECMWF model ensembles in recent runs. Yesterday's observed high near 87°F amid an ongoing heat wave—well above May climatological averages of 75-78°F—further bolsters confidence. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or a weak shortwave disturbance introducing cooler air aloft, though current observations show stable conditions; monitor NWS updates through evening for any refinements ahead of final measurements at Denver International Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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