Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded an overnight minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. In mid-May, subtropical conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge from the South China Sea typically produce overnight lows between 24–27°C, with limited nocturnal cooling from high humidity and light winds. This verified station reading aligns with climatological baselines for the period, as traders incorporate post-event data rather than forecasts. Only an atypical early-morning clear-sky episode with calm conditions and stronger radiative cooling could realistically have shifted the minimum below 25°C, an unlikely deviation given the observed synoptic setup.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
25°C 99.9%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$63,402 Обс.
$63,402 Обс.
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.9%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$63,402 Обс.
$63,402 Обс.
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
$2,496 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$2,286 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,298 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$2,278 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$3,789 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$5,174 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$12,249 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$8,650 Обс.
100%
26°C
$12,002 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$8,229 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$3,951 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded an overnight minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. In mid-May, subtropical conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge from the South China Sea typically produce overnight lows between 24–27°C, with limited nocturnal cooling from high humidity and light winds. This verified station reading aligns with climatological baselines for the period, as traders incorporate post-event data rather than forecasts. Only an atypical early-morning clear-sky episode with calm conditions and stronger radiative cooling could realistically have shifted the minimum below 25°C, an unlikely deviation given the observed synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$63,402Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded an overnight minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. In mid-May, subtropical conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge from the South China Sea typically produce overnight lows between 24–27°C, with limited nocturnal cooling from high humidity and light winds. This verified station reading aligns with climatological baselines for the period, as traders incorporate post-event data rather than forecasts. Only an atypical early-morning clear-sky episode with calm conditions and stronger radiative cooling could realistically have shifted the minimum below 25°C, an unlikely deviation given the observed synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$63,402Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded an overnight minimum of exactly 25°C on May 15, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. In mid-May, subtropical conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge from the South China Sea typically produce overnight lows between 24–27°C, with limited nocturnal cooling from high humidity and light winds. This verified station reading aligns with climatological baselines for the period, as traders incorporate post-event data rather than forecasts. Only an atypical early-morning clear-sky episode with calm conditions and stronger radiative cooling could realistically have shifted the minimum below 25°C, an unlikely deviation given the observed synoptic setup.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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