Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early May 16, projects a 25–29°C temperature range for May 18 amid mainly cloudy conditions, a few showers, and southeast winds at force 4–5 on high ground, driving tight trader consensus between 24°C (27.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.0%). A lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea maintains high relative humidity (75–95%), limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and favoring the higher minimum, though weekend forecasts of 24–27°C ranges suggest potential for thinner clouds or brief clearing to dip toward 24°C. Historical mid-May overnight lows in Hong Kong typically cluster at 24–25°C during this pre-monsoon transition, with urban heat island effects and shifting southerly airstreams adding uncertainty. Traders await the next HKO bulletin this afternoon for model refinements ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?
25°C 36%
24°C 28%
26°C 20%
23°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
28%
25°C
30%
26°C
20%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 36%
24°C 28%
26°C 20%
23°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
$314 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$379 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$153 Обс.
1%
21°C
$118 Обс.
1%
22°C
$105 Обс.
4%
23°C
$6 Обс.
7%
24°C
$0 Обс.
28%
25°C
$28 Обс.
30%
26°C
$5 Обс.
20%
27°C
$67 Обс.
2%
28°C or higher
$261 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early May 16, projects a 25–29°C temperature range for May 18 amid mainly cloudy conditions, a few showers, and southeast winds at force 4–5 on high ground, driving tight trader consensus between 24°C (27.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.0%). A lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea maintains high relative humidity (75–95%), limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and favoring the higher minimum, though weekend forecasts of 24–27°C ranges suggest potential for thinner clouds or brief clearing to dip toward 24°C. Historical mid-May overnight lows in Hong Kong typically cluster at 24–25°C during this pre-monsoon transition, with urban heat island effects and shifting southerly airstreams adding uncertainty. Traders await the next HKO bulletin this afternoon for model refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,436Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early May 16, projects a 25–29°C temperature range for May 18 amid mainly cloudy conditions, a few showers, and southeast winds at force 4–5 on high ground, driving tight trader consensus between 24°C (27.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.0%). A lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea maintains high relative humidity (75–95%), limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and favoring the higher minimum, though weekend forecasts of 24–27°C ranges suggest potential for thinner clouds or brief clearing to dip toward 24°C. Historical mid-May overnight lows in Hong Kong typically cluster at 24–25°C during this pre-monsoon transition, with urban heat island effects and shifting southerly airstreams adding uncertainty. Traders await the next HKO bulletin this afternoon for model refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,436Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETHong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early May 16, projects a 25–29°C temperature range for May 18 amid mainly cloudy conditions, a few showers, and southeast winds at force 4–5 on high ground, driving tight trader consensus between 24°C (27.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.0%). A lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea maintains high relative humidity (75–95%), limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and favoring the higher minimum, though weekend forecasts of 24–27°C ranges suggest potential for thinner clouds or brief clearing to dip toward 24°C. Historical mid-May overnight lows in Hong Kong typically cluster at 24–25°C during this pre-monsoon transition, with urban heat island effects and shifting southerly airstreams adding uncertainty. Traders await the next HKO bulletin this afternoon for model refinements ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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