Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Israel Meteorological Service guidance, point to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that will suppress cloud cover and limit onshore sea-breeze cooling through midday on May 17. This setup favors rapid surface heating under clear skies, pushing the daily maximum well above the mid-May climatological average of 26–28 °C recorded at Ben Gurion International Airport. Following the sharp cooldown to 23–25 °C on May 15–16, the renewed subsidence and light winds have lifted trader-implied odds for 35 °C or higher to 79.5 %. Afternoon station readings will determine resolution, with only modest model spread around the 34–36 °C range remaining.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 82%
34°C 14%
33°C 1.0%
31°C <1%
НОВЕ
$11,896 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,896 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
82%
35°C or higher 82%
34°C 14%
33°C 1.0%
31°C <1%
НОВЕ
$11,896 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,896 Обс.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$2,054 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$677 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$1,047 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,018 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$823 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$698 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$597 Обс.
1%
32°C
$1,132 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$1,084 Обс.
1%
34°C
$993 Обс.
14%
35°C or higher
$1,834 Обс.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Israel Meteorological Service guidance, point to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that will suppress cloud cover and limit onshore sea-breeze cooling through midday on May 17. This setup favors rapid surface heating under clear skies, pushing the daily maximum well above the mid-May climatological average of 26–28 °C recorded at Ben Gurion International Airport. Following the sharp cooldown to 23–25 °C on May 15–16, the renewed subsidence and light winds have lifted trader-implied odds for 35 °C or higher to 79.5 %. Afternoon station readings will determine resolution, with only modest model spread around the 34–36 °C range remaining.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,896Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Israel Meteorological Service guidance, point to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that will suppress cloud cover and limit onshore sea-breeze cooling through midday on May 17. This setup favors rapid surface heating under clear skies, pushing the daily maximum well above the mid-May climatological average of 26–28 °C recorded at Ben Gurion International Airport. Following the sharp cooldown to 23–25 °C on May 15–16, the renewed subsidence and light winds have lifted trader-implied odds for 35 °C or higher to 79.5 %. Afternoon station readings will determine resolution, with only modest model spread around the 34–36 °C range remaining.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$11,896Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent model runs from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Israel Meteorological Service guidance, point to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that will suppress cloud cover and limit onshore sea-breeze cooling through midday on May 17. This setup favors rapid surface heating under clear skies, pushing the daily maximum well above the mid-May climatological average of 26–28 °C recorded at Ben Gurion International Airport. Following the sharp cooldown to 23–25 °C on May 15–16, the renewed subsidence and light winds have lifted trader-implied odds for 35 °C or higher to 79.5 %. Afternoon station readings will determine resolution, with only modest model spread around the 34–36 °C range remaining.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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