Latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs of 28–30°C in Taipei on May 17 under subtropical high pressure with moderate easterly flow and scattered afternoon convection. Ensemble model consensus shows limited warming potential from solar insolation due to variable cloud cover, while urban heat island effects at official stations could add 1–2°C above regional baselines. Historical May climatology supports maxima near 27–29°C, yet short-range uncertainty in timing of showers and wind shifts keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered between the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
29°C 26%
30°C 25%
28°C 20%
31°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
26%
30°C
25%
31°C
14%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 26%
30°C 25%
28°C 20%
31°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$341 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$192 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$173 Обс.
1%
26°C
$492 Обс.
2%
27°C
$223 Обс.
8%
28°C
$166 Обс.
20%
29°C
$121 Обс.
26%
30°C
$98 Обс.
25%
31°C
$117 Обс.
14%
32°C
$229 Обс.
9%
33°C or higher
$451 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs of 28–30°C in Taipei on May 17 under subtropical high pressure with moderate easterly flow and scattered afternoon convection. Ensemble model consensus shows limited warming potential from solar insolation due to variable cloud cover, while urban heat island effects at official stations could add 1–2°C above regional baselines. Historical May climatology supports maxima near 27–29°C, yet short-range uncertainty in timing of showers and wind shifts keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered between the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,594Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs of 28–30°C in Taipei on May 17 under subtropical high pressure with moderate easterly flow and scattered afternoon convection. Ensemble model consensus shows limited warming potential from solar insolation due to variable cloud cover, while urban heat island effects at official stations could add 1–2°C above regional baselines. Historical May climatology supports maxima near 27–29°C, yet short-range uncertainty in timing of showers and wind shifts keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered between the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$2,594Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSLatest forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs of 28–30°C in Taipei on May 17 under subtropical high pressure with moderate easterly flow and scattered afternoon convection. Ensemble model consensus shows limited warming potential from solar insolation due to variable cloud cover, while urban heat island effects at official stations could add 1–2°C above regional baselines. Historical May climatology supports maxima near 27–29°C, yet short-range uncertainty in timing of showers and wind shifts keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered between the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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