Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 11°C high in Amsterdam on May 15 (51.5% implied probability), closely trailed by 12°C (27%) and 10°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest KNMI forecast of a maximum around 12°C amid persistent northerly airflow from a lingering cold front. Updated ECMWF, GFS, and HARMONIE model ensembles over the past 24 hours confirm suppressed temperatures—well below the mid-May climatological average of 16-17°C—due to northwest winds (Beaufort force 3), scattered showers (70% chance), and moderate cloud cover limiting solar heating. Official measurements from the Schiphol Airport station, the standard for Amsterdam highs, will resolve the market; short-range uncertainty (±1-2°C) stems from potential clearing or shower timing, with hourly KNMI updates expected throughout the day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
11°C 51%
12°C 26%
10°C 18%
9°C 5.3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 15, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
18%
11°C
51%
12°C
26%
13°C
4%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 51%
12°C 26%
10°C 18%
9°C 5.3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 15, 2026
7°C or below
$297 Обс.
1%
8°C
$327 Обс.
1%
9°C
$631 Обс.
5%
10°C
$754 Обс.
18%
11°C
$915 Обс.
51%
12°C
$593 Обс.
26%
13°C
$559 Обс.
4%
14°C
$263 Обс.
1%
15°C
$262 Обс.
1%
16°C
$314 Обс.
<1%
17°C or higher
$950 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 11°C high in Amsterdam on May 15 (51.5% implied probability), closely trailed by 12°C (27%) and 10°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest KNMI forecast of a maximum around 12°C amid persistent northerly airflow from a lingering cold front. Updated ECMWF, GFS, and HARMONIE model ensembles over the past 24 hours confirm suppressed temperatures—well below the mid-May climatological average of 16-17°C—due to northwest winds (Beaufort force 3), scattered showers (70% chance), and moderate cloud cover limiting solar heating. Official measurements from the Schiphol Airport station, the standard for Amsterdam highs, will resolve the market; short-range uncertainty (±1-2°C) stems from potential clearing or shower timing, with hourly KNMI updates expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,856Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 11°C high in Amsterdam on May 15 (51.5% implied probability), closely trailed by 12°C (27%) and 10°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest KNMI forecast of a maximum around 12°C amid persistent northerly airflow from a lingering cold front. Updated ECMWF, GFS, and HARMONIE model ensembles over the past 24 hours confirm suppressed temperatures—well below the mid-May climatological average of 16-17°C—due to northwest winds (Beaufort force 3), scattered showers (70% chance), and moderate cloud cover limiting solar heating. Official measurements from the Schiphol Airport station, the standard for Amsterdam highs, will resolve the market; short-range uncertainty (±1-2°C) stems from potential clearing or shower timing, with hourly KNMI updates expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,856Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 11°C high in Amsterdam on May 15 (51.5% implied probability), closely trailed by 12°C (27%) and 10°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest KNMI forecast of a maximum around 12°C amid persistent northerly airflow from a lingering cold front. Updated ECMWF, GFS, and HARMONIE model ensembles over the past 24 hours confirm suppressed temperatures—well below the mid-May climatological average of 16-17°C—due to northwest winds (Beaufort force 3), scattered showers (70% chance), and moderate cloud cover limiting solar heating. Official measurements from the Schiphol Airport station, the standard for Amsterdam highs, will resolve the market; short-range uncertainty (±1-2°C) stems from potential clearing or shower timing, with hourly KNMI updates expected throughout the day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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