Recent confirmation of a limited Ebola virus disease outbreak in remote areas of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with 13 laboratory-confirmed cases amid 246 suspected infections and 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability of no U.S. case by June 30. The affected zones in Ituri province remain distant from major international airports, limiting traveler exposure, while CDC assessments rate importation risk to the general U.S. population as low with moderate confidence. Established protocols including enhanced entry screening, 21-day contact monitoring, ring vaccination, and rapid diagnostic capabilities further reinforce containment. Although spread to urban centers or neighboring countries with direct U.S. flights could introduce an imported case within the short remaining window, current epidemiological patterns and response intensity make such transmission unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоEbola case in the US by June 30?
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2026
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent confirmation of a limited Ebola virus disease outbreak in remote areas of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with 13 laboratory-confirmed cases amid 246 suspected infections and 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability of no U.S. case by June 30. The affected zones in Ituri province remain distant from major international airports, limiting traveler exposure, while CDC assessments rate importation risk to the general U.S. population as low with moderate confidence. Established protocols including enhanced entry screening, 21-day contact monitoring, ring vaccination, and rapid diagnostic capabilities further reinforce containment. Although spread to urban centers or neighboring countries with direct U.S. flights could introduce an imported case within the short remaining window, current epidemiological patterns and response intensity make such transmission unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$158Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent confirmation of a limited Ebola virus disease outbreak in remote areas of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with 13 laboratory-confirmed cases amid 246 suspected infections and 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability of no U.S. case by June 30. The affected zones in Ituri province remain distant from major international airports, limiting traveler exposure, while CDC assessments rate importation risk to the general U.S. population as low with moderate confidence. Established protocols including enhanced entry screening, 21-day contact monitoring, ring vaccination, and rapid diagnostic capabilities further reinforce containment. Although spread to urban centers or neighboring countries with direct U.S. flights could introduce an imported case within the short remaining window, current epidemiological patterns and response intensity make such transmission unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Обсяг
$158Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent confirmation of a limited Ebola virus disease outbreak in remote areas of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with 13 laboratory-confirmed cases amid 246 suspected infections and 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, underpins the 91.5% market-implied probability of no U.S. case by June 30. The affected zones in Ituri province remain distant from major international airports, limiting traveler exposure, while CDC assessments rate importation risk to the general U.S. population as low with moderate confidence. Established protocols including enhanced entry screening, 21-day contact monitoring, ring vaccination, and rapid diagnostic capabilities further reinforce containment. Although spread to urban centers or neighboring countries with direct U.S. flights could introduce an imported case within the short remaining window, current epidemiological patterns and response intensity make such transmission unlikely before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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