Traders assign a 96.5% implied probability to a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on May 17, reflecting model consensus for continued dry-season conditions under a strong subtropical ridge. Late-spring solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to push afternoon readings into the upper 20s, consistent with long-term climatology for the region when high pressure suppresses convection. Official guidance shows limited spread among ensemble members, with only modest afternoon cooling possible from isolated cumulus development. An unexpected increase in moisture or a temporary wind shift could cap the high below the threshold, though current atmospheric patterns make such a reversal improbable before the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 17?
26°C or higher 96.6%
25°C 2.1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
НОВЕ
$15,295 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,295 Обс.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
97%
26°C or higher 96.6%
25°C 2.1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
НОВЕ
$15,295 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,295 Обс.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
$1,256 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$2,148 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,954 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$3,210 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$847 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$1,153 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,013 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$692 Обс.
1%
24°C
$851 Обс.
1%
25°C
$1,393 Обс.
2%
26°C or higher
$779 Обс.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign a 96.5% implied probability to a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on May 17, reflecting model consensus for continued dry-season conditions under a strong subtropical ridge. Late-spring solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to push afternoon readings into the upper 20s, consistent with long-term climatology for the region when high pressure suppresses convection. Official guidance shows limited spread among ensemble members, with only modest afternoon cooling possible from isolated cumulus development. An unexpected increase in moisture or a temporary wind shift could cap the high below the threshold, though current atmospheric patterns make such a reversal improbable before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,295Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign a 96.5% implied probability to a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on May 17, reflecting model consensus for continued dry-season conditions under a strong subtropical ridge. Late-spring solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to push afternoon readings into the upper 20s, consistent with long-term climatology for the region when high pressure suppresses convection. Official guidance shows limited spread among ensemble members, with only modest afternoon cooling possible from isolated cumulus development. An unexpected increase in moisture or a temporary wind shift could cap the high below the threshold, though current atmospheric patterns make such a reversal improbable before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$15,295Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXTraders assign a 96.5% implied probability to a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Mexico City on May 17, reflecting model consensus for continued dry-season conditions under a strong subtropical ridge. Late-spring solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to push afternoon readings into the upper 20s, consistent with long-term climatology for the region when high pressure suppresses convection. Official guidance shows limited spread among ensemble members, with only modest afternoon cooling possible from isolated cumulus development. An unexpected increase in moisture or a temporary wind shift could cap the high below the threshold, though current atmospheric patterns make such a reversal improbable before the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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