Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around a mid-50s°F low at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station for May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting 53-56°F amid a post-frontal cool air mass and upper-level trough. Light northwest winds around 5-10 mph promote radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, but lingering showers or thicker cloud decks could trap heat and boost the low toward 56-57°F, while fuller clearing favors 50-53°F outcomes. Urban heat island effects are muted at the airport site compared to Central Park, aligning with mid-May climatological normals near 54°F. New hourly observations and 00Z model runs tonight will sharpen resolution amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 16?
54-55°F 28%
52-53°F 23%
56-57°F 18%
50-51°F 6.5%
43°F or below
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
23%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
3%
62°F or higher
4%
54-55°F 28%
52-53°F 23%
56-57°F 18%
50-51°F 6.5%
43°F or below
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
23%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
3%
62°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGATrader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around a mid-50s°F low at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station for May 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting 53-56°F amid a post-frontal cool air mass and upper-level trough. Light northwest winds around 5-10 mph promote radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, but lingering showers or thicker cloud decks could trap heat and boost the low toward 56-57°F, while fuller clearing favors 50-53°F outcomes. Urban heat island effects are muted at the airport site compared to Central Park, aligning with mid-May climatological normals near 54°F. New hourly observations and 00Z model runs tonight will sharpen resolution amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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