The market’s narrow spread across 22–24 °C captures the Yellow Sea’s persistent marine influence on Qingdao, where sea-surface temperatures near 15–17 °C sustain a cool boundary layer that typically caps afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 20s even under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF shows consensus near 23 °C, with small differences arising from variable sea-breeze timing, modest southerly advection of slightly warmer continental air, and minor cloud-cover fluctuations that can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical mid-May observations at official Qingdao stations cluster tightly around this range, reinforcing trader focus on these thresholds ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 17?
23°C 27%
24°C 18%
22°C 17.3%
25°C 14%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
17%
23°C
27%
24°C
18%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
23°C 27%
24°C 18%
22°C 17.3%
25°C 14%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
17%
23°C
27%
24°C
18%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDThe market’s narrow spread across 22–24 °C captures the Yellow Sea’s persistent marine influence on Qingdao, where sea-surface temperatures near 15–17 °C sustain a cool boundary layer that typically caps afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 20s even under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF shows consensus near 23 °C, with small differences arising from variable sea-breeze timing, modest southerly advection of slightly warmer continental air, and minor cloud-cover fluctuations that can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical mid-May observations at official Qingdao stations cluster tightly around this range, reinforcing trader focus on these thresholds ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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