The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,221 Обс.
$26,221 Обс.
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,221 Обс.
$26,221 Обс.
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
$973 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$890 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$1,655 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$2,615 Обс.
Yes
74-75°F
$5,126 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$4,113 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$2,052 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$2,309 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$960 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$902 Обс.
No
86°F or higher
$4,625 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$26,221Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$26,221Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The market consensus at 72-73°F reflects National Weather Service observations from Miami International Airport confirming that minimum temperature on May 15. A dominant subtropical ridge maintained steady southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above long-term May climatology. Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight agreement on this range, with no meaningful cold-front passage or enhanced boundary-layer mixing to drive sharper drops. While a late-season frontal intrusion could theoretically produce lower readings, current surface analyses and satellite imagery ruled out such developments, leaving only negligible probability on cooler brackets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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