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Lowest temperature in Miami on May 16?

icon for Lowest temperature in Miami on May 16?

Lowest temperature in Miami on May 16?

May 14

May 15

May 16

May 17

May 14

May 15

May 16

May 17

76-77°F 32%

78-79°F 27%

73°F or below 12.4%

74-75°F 12%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

76-77°F 32%

78-79°F 27%

73°F or below 12.4%

74-75°F 12%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

73°F or below

$331 Обс.

12%

74-75°F

$56 Обс.

15%

76-77°F

$27 Обс.

32%

78-79°F

$54 Обс.

27%

80-81°F

$105 Обс.

5%

82-83°F

$409 Обс.

1%

84-85°F

$158 Обс.

1%

86-87°F

$155 Обс.

1%

88-89°F

$472 Обс.

1%

90-91°F

$452 Обс.

<1%

92°F or higher

$3,601 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (32.5% implied probability) in Miami on May 16, slightly ahead of 78-79°F (27.5%), reflecting the tight spread in latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA model guidance pointing to an overnight low near 77°F at Miami International Airport. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge fostering light winds and partial clearing after evening showers, enabling modest radiational cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 80°F and urban heat island effects that cap deeper drops. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show minimal divergence (76-78°F cluster), with climatological May mid-month lows averaging 73-76°F providing baseline context. Key uncertainty lies in residual cloud cover and marine influx; watch NWS updates this evening for refined hourly guidance ahead of the morning minimum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,821
Дата завершення
May 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (32.5% implied probability) in Miami on May 16, slightly ahead of 78-79°F (27.5%), reflecting the tight spread in latest National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA model guidance pointing to an overnight low near 77°F at Miami International Airport. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge fostering light winds and partial clearing after evening showers, enabling modest radiational cooling amid warm sea surface temperatures around 80°F and urban heat island effects that cap deeper drops. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show minimal divergence (76-78°F cluster), with climatological May mid-month lows averaging 73-76°F providing baseline context. Key uncertainty lies in residual cloud cover and marine influx; watch NWS updates this evening for refined hourly guidance ahead of the morning minimum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,821
Дата завершення
May 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Miami on May 16?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «76-77°F» з 33%, далі «78-79°F» з 27%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Lowest temperature in Miami on May 16?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений May 13, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Miami on May 16?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Miami on May 16?» — «76-77°F» з 33%. Наступний — «78-79°F» з 27%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Miami on May 16?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.