Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (70%) in Miami on May 14, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating an overnight low of 77°F at Miami International Airport amid a high-pressure ridge promoting light winds and partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. Warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and high dewpoints near 75°F provide a natural floor, consistent with mid-May climatology where average lows hover at 73°F but recent above-normal trends push expectations higher. The 31% odds for 74-75°F reflect minor model discrepancies in GFS and ECMWF runs, with potential for denser cloud cover overnight; lower bins remain improbable given historical rarity below 72°F this date. Hourly NOAA observations through dawn will finalize resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on May 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 14?
74-75°F 99.4%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$16,622 Обс.
$16,622 Обс.
May 14, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
99%
74-75°F 99.4%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$16,622 Обс.
$16,622 Обс.
May 14, 2026
67°F or below
$701 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,086 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$884 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,760 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$1,851 Обс.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (70%) in Miami on May 14, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating an overnight low of 77°F at Miami International Airport amid a high-pressure ridge promoting light winds and partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. Warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and high dewpoints near 75°F provide a natural floor, consistent with mid-May climatology where average lows hover at 73°F but recent above-normal trends push expectations higher. The 31% odds for 74-75°F reflect minor model discrepancies in GFS and ECMWF runs, with potential for denser cloud cover overnight; lower bins remain improbable given historical rarity below 72°F this date. Hourly NOAA observations through dawn will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$16,622Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (70%) in Miami on May 14, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating an overnight low of 77°F at Miami International Airport amid a high-pressure ridge promoting light winds and partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. Warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and high dewpoints near 75°F provide a natural floor, consistent with mid-May climatology where average lows hover at 73°F but recent above-normal trends push expectations higher. The 31% odds for 74-75°F reflect minor model discrepancies in GFS and ECMWF runs, with potential for denser cloud cover overnight; lower bins remain improbable given historical rarity below 72°F this date. Hourly NOAA observations through dawn will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$16,622Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a lowest temperature of 76-77°F (70%) in Miami on May 14, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating an overnight low of 77°F at Miami International Airport amid a high-pressure ridge promoting light winds and partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. Warm sea surface temperatures around 82°F and high dewpoints near 75°F provide a natural floor, consistent with mid-May climatology where average lows hover at 73°F but recent above-normal trends push expectations higher. The 31% odds for 74-75°F reflect minor model discrepancies in GFS and ECMWF runs, with potential for denser cloud cover overnight; lower bins remain improbable given historical rarity below 72°F this date. Hourly NOAA observations through dawn will finalize resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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