Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models show a tight spread for Miami International Airport's lowest temperature on May 18, with projected nighttime lows ranging 73–85°F amid uncertainty in evening sea breeze propagation and cloud cover evolution. The 33.5% implied probability for 73°F or below stems from select drier model runs suggesting enhanced radiational cooling under light winds and lower dew points near 70°F, while 78–79°F at 25.5% reflects consensus persistence of humid onshore flow from the warm Atlantic, limiting cooling via latent heat advection—historical mid-May averages hover around 76°F. Key differentiators include urban heat island effects and potential weak upper-level trough influence; watch 00Z model updates for refined trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on May 18?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 18?
73°F or below 48%
76-77°F 22%
80-81°F 21%
82-83°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
73°F or below
48%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
73°F or below 48%
76-77°F 22%
80-81°F 21%
82-83°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Обс.
48%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
12%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
22%
78-79°F
$5 Обс.
22%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
21%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
19%
84-85°F
$10 Обс.
19%
86-87°F
$43 Обс.
7%
88-89°F
$37 Обс.
3%
90-91°F
$340 Обс.
1%
92°F or higher
$74 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models show a tight spread for Miami International Airport's lowest temperature on May 18, with projected nighttime lows ranging 73–85°F amid uncertainty in evening sea breeze propagation and cloud cover evolution. The 33.5% implied probability for 73°F or below stems from select drier model runs suggesting enhanced radiational cooling under light winds and lower dew points near 70°F, while 78–79°F at 25.5% reflects consensus persistence of humid onshore flow from the warm Atlantic, limiting cooling via latent heat advection—historical mid-May averages hover around 76°F. Key differentiators include urban heat island effects and potential weak upper-level trough influence; watch 00Z model updates for refined trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$509Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models show a tight spread for Miami International Airport's lowest temperature on May 18, with projected nighttime lows ranging 73–85°F amid uncertainty in evening sea breeze propagation and cloud cover evolution. The 33.5% implied probability for 73°F or below stems from select drier model runs suggesting enhanced radiational cooling under light winds and lower dew points near 70°F, while 78–79°F at 25.5% reflects consensus persistence of humid onshore flow from the warm Atlantic, limiting cooling via latent heat advection—historical mid-May averages hover around 76°F. Key differentiators include urban heat island effects and potential weak upper-level trough influence; watch 00Z model updates for refined trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$509Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIALatest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models show a tight spread for Miami International Airport's lowest temperature on May 18, with projected nighttime lows ranging 73–85°F amid uncertainty in evening sea breeze propagation and cloud cover evolution. The 33.5% implied probability for 73°F or below stems from select drier model runs suggesting enhanced radiational cooling under light winds and lower dew points near 70°F, while 78–79°F at 25.5% reflects consensus persistence of humid onshore flow from the warm Atlantic, limiting cooling via latent heat advection—historical mid-May averages hover around 76°F. Key differentiators include urban heat island effects and potential weak upper-level trough influence; watch 00Z model updates for refined trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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