Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 17°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) hourly forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model runs projecting peak daytime highs of 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds advecting milder maritime air from the Baltic Sea. Yesterday's May 14 observations at FMI's Kaisaniemi station reached around 10–12°C amid sprinkles, but updated model consensus shows reduced cloud cover and a strengthening high-pressure ridge, elevating odds for 17–18°C over cooler 16°C. Climatologically, mid-May averages 14°C highs, but this spring's warmer-than-normal trend supports the shift; final resolution hinges on FMI's real-time measurements, with new hourly data expected throughout the day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
17°C 38%
16°C 28.3%
18°C 21%
19°C 8%
$13,715 Обс.
$13,715 Обс.
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
7%
16°C
28%
17°C
38%
18°C
21%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 38%
16°C 28.3%
18°C 21%
19°C 8%
$13,715 Обс.
$13,715 Обс.
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
7%
16°C
28%
17°C
38%
18°C
21%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 17°C as the leading outcome at 36.5% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) hourly forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model runs projecting peak daytime highs of 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds advecting milder maritime air from the Baltic Sea. Yesterday's May 14 observations at FMI's Kaisaniemi station reached around 10–12°C amid sprinkles, but updated model consensus shows reduced cloud cover and a strengthening high-pressure ridge, elevating odds for 17–18°C over cooler 16°C. Climatologically, mid-May averages 14°C highs, but this spring's warmer-than-normal trend supports the shift; final resolution hinges on FMI's real-time measurements, with new hourly data expected throughout the day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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