PAGASA's latest extended weather outlook, issued May 14, projects a high of 35°C for Metro Manila on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward temperatures in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius. This aligns with May's climatological peak, when Manila averages 33°C highs amid the dry season's intense solar heating and urban heat island effects, though sea breezes and localized convection introduce uncertainty. Recent days have seen similar 34-35°C peaks with elevated heat indices nearing danger levels (42°C+), per agency bulletins. Watch for tomorrow's forecast update and heat index advisory, as model refinements could shift implied probabilities before resolution based on official PAGASA station measurements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on May 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 16?
34°C 36%
35°C 25%
33°C 24%
32°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
24%
34°C
36%
35°C
25%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 36%
35°C 25%
33°C 24%
32°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 16, 2026
29°C or below
$273 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$133 Обс.
1%
31°C
$60 Обс.
1%
32°C
$131 Обс.
7%
33°C
$182 Обс.
24%
34°C
$170 Обс.
36%
35°C
$9 Обс.
25%
36°C
$251 Обс.
6%
37°C
$189 Обс.
1%
38°C
$22 Обс.
1%
39°C or higher
$220 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended weather outlook, issued May 14, projects a high of 35°C for Metro Manila on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward temperatures in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius. This aligns with May's climatological peak, when Manila averages 33°C highs amid the dry season's intense solar heating and urban heat island effects, though sea breezes and localized convection introduce uncertainty. Recent days have seen similar 34-35°C peaks with elevated heat indices nearing danger levels (42°C+), per agency bulletins. Watch for tomorrow's forecast update and heat index advisory, as model refinements could shift implied probabilities before resolution based on official PAGASA station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,639Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended weather outlook, issued May 14, projects a high of 35°C for Metro Manila on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward temperatures in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius. This aligns with May's climatological peak, when Manila averages 33°C highs amid the dry season's intense solar heating and urban heat island effects, though sea breezes and localized convection introduce uncertainty. Recent days have seen similar 34-35°C peaks with elevated heat indices nearing danger levels (42°C+), per agency bulletins. Watch for tomorrow's forecast update and heat index advisory, as model refinements could shift implied probabilities before resolution based on official PAGASA station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,639Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest extended weather outlook, issued May 14, projects a high of 35°C for Metro Manila on May 16 under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward temperatures in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius. This aligns with May's climatological peak, when Manila averages 33°C highs amid the dry season's intense solar heating and urban heat island effects, though sea breezes and localized convection introduce uncertainty. Recent days have seen similar 34-35°C peaks with elevated heat indices nearing danger levels (42°C+), per agency bulletins. Watch for tomorrow's forecast update and heat index advisory, as model refinements could shift implied probabilities before resolution based on official PAGASA station measurements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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