PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 34°C high temperature for Manila on May 15 amid persistent dry season conditions dominated by a high-pressure ridge over Luzon, fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating. Trader consensus favors 36°C at 37% implied probability, closely trailed by 35°C at 31%, reflecting recent observations exceeding forecasts—such as 35.5°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport on May 13—and urban heat island effects amplifying peaks at the Science Garden observatory. Partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms add uncertainty, potentially capping highs below 36°C via cloud cover or convective cooling, while low winds sustain heat buildup; watch for PAGASA's afternoon update. Climatological mid-May norms average 34°C but frequently hit 36°C during prolonged heat episodes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on May 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 15?
35°C 35%
36°C 32%
34°C 21%
37°C 4.3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 15, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
21%
35°C
35%
36°C
32%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 35%
36°C 32%
34°C 21%
37°C 4.3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 15, 2026
29°C or below
$275 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$348 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$173 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$221 Обс.
1%
33°C
$458 Обс.
4%
34°C
$424 Обс.
21%
35°C
$118 Обс.
35%
36°C
$389 Обс.
32%
37°C
$761 Обс.
4%
38°C
$138 Обс.
1%
39°C or higher
$181 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 34°C high temperature for Manila on May 15 amid persistent dry season conditions dominated by a high-pressure ridge over Luzon, fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating. Trader consensus favors 36°C at 37% implied probability, closely trailed by 35°C at 31%, reflecting recent observations exceeding forecasts—such as 35.5°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport on May 13—and urban heat island effects amplifying peaks at the Science Garden observatory. Partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms add uncertainty, potentially capping highs below 36°C via cloud cover or convective cooling, while low winds sustain heat buildup; watch for PAGASA's afternoon update. Climatological mid-May norms average 34°C but frequently hit 36°C during prolonged heat episodes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,487Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 34°C high temperature for Manila on May 15 amid persistent dry season conditions dominated by a high-pressure ridge over Luzon, fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating. Trader consensus favors 36°C at 37% implied probability, closely trailed by 35°C at 31%, reflecting recent observations exceeding forecasts—such as 35.5°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport on May 13—and urban heat island effects amplifying peaks at the Science Garden observatory. Partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms add uncertainty, potentially capping highs below 36°C via cloud cover or convective cooling, while low winds sustain heat buildup; watch for PAGASA's afternoon update. Climatological mid-May norms average 34°C but frequently hit 36°C during prolonged heat episodes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,487Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 34°C high temperature for Manila on May 15 amid persistent dry season conditions dominated by a high-pressure ridge over Luzon, fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating. Trader consensus favors 36°C at 37% implied probability, closely trailed by 35°C at 31%, reflecting recent observations exceeding forecasts—such as 35.5°C at nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport on May 13—and urban heat island effects amplifying peaks at the Science Garden observatory. Partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms add uncertainty, potentially capping highs below 36°C via cloud cover or convective cooling, while low winds sustain heat buildup; watch for PAGASA's afternoon update. Climatological mid-May norms average 34°C but frequently hit 36°C during prolonged heat episodes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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