PAGASA's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 34°C in Metro Manila today under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and 20% precipitation chance from easterly winds, driving the 92% market-implied probability on this outcome as traders align with official model consensus. Recent days saw peaks near 35.5°C at nearby stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport amid drier conditions, but increased cloud cover—evident in morning observations around 34°C at Quezon City—supports moderation to seasonal May averages of 33–34°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine eroding clouds, potentially pushing toward 35°C (6.5% odds), though hourly PAGASA updates through afternoon peak heating will refine trader positioning before resolution based on Science Garden station data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on May 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 14?
34°C 98.8%
35°C 1.1%
36°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$26,878 Обс.
$26,878 Обс.
May 14, 2026
34°C
99%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 98.8%
35°C 1.1%
36°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$26,878 Обс.
$26,878 Обс.
May 14, 2026
34°C
$3,559 Обс.
99%
35°C
$2,623 Обс.
1%
36°C
$2,413 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$1,622 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,535 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 34°C in Metro Manila today under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and 20% precipitation chance from easterly winds, driving the 92% market-implied probability on this outcome as traders align with official model consensus. Recent days saw peaks near 35.5°C at nearby stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport amid drier conditions, but increased cloud cover—evident in morning observations around 34°C at Quezon City—supports moderation to seasonal May averages of 33–34°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine eroding clouds, potentially pushing toward 35°C (6.5% odds), though hourly PAGASA updates through afternoon peak heating will refine trader positioning before resolution based on Science Garden station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,878Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 34°C in Metro Manila today under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and 20% precipitation chance from easterly winds, driving the 92% market-implied probability on this outcome as traders align with official model consensus. Recent days saw peaks near 35.5°C at nearby stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport amid drier conditions, but increased cloud cover—evident in morning observations around 34°C at Quezon City—supports moderation to seasonal May averages of 33–34°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine eroding clouds, potentially pushing toward 35°C (6.5% odds), though hourly PAGASA updates through afternoon peak heating will refine trader positioning before resolution based on Science Garden station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$26,878Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 34°C in Metro Manila today under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and 20% precipitation chance from easterly winds, driving the 92% market-implied probability on this outcome as traders align with official model consensus. Recent days saw peaks near 35.5°C at nearby stations like Ninoy Aquino International Airport amid drier conditions, but increased cloud cover—evident in morning observations around 34°C at Quezon City—supports moderation to seasonal May averages of 33–34°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine eroding clouds, potentially pushing toward 35°C (6.5% odds), though hourly PAGASA updates through afternoon peak heating will refine trader positioning before resolution based on Science Garden station data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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