Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily high near 26°C in Chongqing on May 18, driven by typical mid-May subtropical high pressure and moderate moisture advection in the Sichuan Basin. Historical climatology shows May averages of 27°C, yet recent observations from May 13–14 reached 29–30°C under clearer skies, introducing uncertainty around cloud cover and humidity that could suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 25°C and 27°C, traders are pricing in the narrow range of outcomes from ensemble model spreads. New National Meteorological Center updates expected in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the May 18 observation window at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 18?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 18?
26°C 25%
25°C 20%
27°C 20%
24°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
13%
25°C
20%
26°C
25%
27°C
20%
28°C
9%
29°C or higher
4%
26°C 25%
25°C 20%
27°C 20%
24°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
19°C or below
$463 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$504 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$373 Обс.
1%
22°C
$21 Обс.
3%
23°C
$31 Обс.
5%
24°C
$180 Обс.
13%
25°C
$159 Обс.
20%
26°C
$90 Обс.
25%
27°C
$133 Обс.
20%
28°C
$328 Обс.
9%
29°C or higher
$328 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily high near 26°C in Chongqing on May 18, driven by typical mid-May subtropical high pressure and moderate moisture advection in the Sichuan Basin. Historical climatology shows May averages of 27°C, yet recent observations from May 13–14 reached 29–30°C under clearer skies, introducing uncertainty around cloud cover and humidity that could suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 25°C and 27°C, traders are pricing in the narrow range of outcomes from ensemble model spreads. New National Meteorological Center updates expected in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the May 18 observation window at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,611Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily high near 26°C in Chongqing on May 18, driven by typical mid-May subtropical high pressure and moderate moisture advection in the Sichuan Basin. Historical climatology shows May averages of 27°C, yet recent observations from May 13–14 reached 29–30°C under clearer skies, introducing uncertainty around cloud cover and humidity that could suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 25°C and 27°C, traders are pricing in the narrow range of outcomes from ensemble model spreads. New National Meteorological Center updates expected in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the May 18 observation window at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$2,611Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKRecent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily high near 26°C in Chongqing on May 18, driven by typical mid-May subtropical high pressure and moderate moisture advection in the Sichuan Basin. Historical climatology shows May averages of 27°C, yet recent observations from May 13–14 reached 29–30°C under clearer skies, introducing uncertainty around cloud cover and humidity that could suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly between 25°C and 27°C, traders are pricing in the narrow range of outcomes from ensemble model spreads. New National Meteorological Center updates expected in the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution ahead of the May 18 observation window at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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