Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a daily maximum temperature in Beijing on May 18 between 25°C and 27°C, which accounts for the closely matched market-implied probabilities on those outcomes. Moderate southerly flow is expected to bring slightly warmer air, yet increased cloud cover and potential afternoon convection should cap peak heating below recent early-May values. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 26–28°C, while steering patterns from a lingering trough to the north limit stronger warming. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Beijing Meteorological Service on May 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on May 18?
26°C 28%
25°C 28%
24°C 18%
27°C 15%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
15%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 28%
25°C 28%
24°C 18%
27°C 15%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
15%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a daily maximum temperature in Beijing on May 18 between 25°C and 27°C, which accounts for the closely matched market-implied probabilities on those outcomes. Moderate southerly flow is expected to bring slightly warmer air, yet increased cloud cover and potential afternoon convection should cap peak heating below recent early-May values. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 26–28°C, while steering patterns from a lingering trough to the north limit stronger warming. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Beijing Meteorological Service on May 17 will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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