Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models project a nocturnal minimum of 8–9°C in Paris on May 18 under a persistent cool, moist air mass with scattered showers and limited daytime heating across the Île-de-France region. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average overnight lows hover near 9–10°C, though current guidance shows slightly cooler conditions than recent weeks due to northerly flow suppressing temperatures. Météo-France updates expected over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum recorded at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the official resolution station, where even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind could push the outcome between the market’s leading 8°C and 9°C bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on May 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 18?
9°C 36%
8°C 31%
7°C 17.0%
10°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
17%
8°C
31%
9°C
36%
10°C
9%
11°C
5%
12°C or higher
2%
9°C 36%
8°C 31%
7°C 17.0%
10°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
2°C or below
$62 Обс.
<1%
3°C
$57 Обс.
<1%
4°C
$25 Обс.
1%
5°C
$40 Обс.
1%
6°C
$184 Обс.
4%
7°C
$109 Обс.
17%
8°C
$36 Обс.
31%
9°C
$102 Обс.
36%
10°C
$52 Обс.
9%
11°C
$26 Обс.
5%
12°C or higher
$523 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models project a nocturnal minimum of 8–9°C in Paris on May 18 under a persistent cool, moist air mass with scattered showers and limited daytime heating across the Île-de-France region. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average overnight lows hover near 9–10°C, though current guidance shows slightly cooler conditions than recent weeks due to northerly flow suppressing temperatures. Météo-France updates expected over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum recorded at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the official resolution station, where even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind could push the outcome between the market’s leading 8°C and 9°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,217Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models project a nocturnal minimum of 8–9°C in Paris on May 18 under a persistent cool, moist air mass with scattered showers and limited daytime heating across the Île-de-France region. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average overnight lows hover near 9–10°C, though current guidance shows slightly cooler conditions than recent weeks due to northerly flow suppressing temperatures. Météo-France updates expected over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum recorded at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the official resolution station, where even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind could push the outcome between the market’s leading 8°C and 9°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,217Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models project a nocturnal minimum of 8–9°C in Paris on May 18 under a persistent cool, moist air mass with scattered showers and limited daytime heating across the Île-de-France region. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average overnight lows hover near 9–10°C, though current guidance shows slightly cooler conditions than recent weeks due to northerly flow suppressing temperatures. Météo-France updates expected over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum recorded at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the official resolution station, where even modest shifts in cloud cover or wind could push the outcome between the market’s leading 8°C and 9°C bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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