Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS project Paris’s nocturnal minimum on May 17 near 8–10 °C at Le Bourget Airport, the resolution station, under persistent overcast skies and a cool Atlantic air mass that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This places the 10 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, with 9 °C and 11 °C brackets capturing the typical ensemble spread arising from small differences in cloud cover and wind speed. A modest ridge building from the southwest offers slight warming potential above 11 °C, while any deeper trough could push readings toward 8 °C; traders therefore price these three bins most heavily as the final 48-hour window approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 17?
10°C 34%
9°C 28%
11°C 22%
12°C or higher 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
9%
9°C
27%
10°C
34%
11°C
28%
12°C or higher
10%
10°C 34%
9°C 28%
11°C 22%
12°C or higher 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
$60 Обс.
<1%
3°C
$59 Обс.
<1%
4°C
$217 Обс.
1%
5°C
$209 Обс.
1%
6°C
$233 Обс.
1%
7°C
$37 Обс.
1%
8°C
$29 Обс.
9%
9°C
$122 Обс.
27%
10°C
$58 Обс.
34%
11°C
$53 Обс.
28%
12°C or higher
$98 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS project Paris’s nocturnal minimum on May 17 near 8–10 °C at Le Bourget Airport, the resolution station, under persistent overcast skies and a cool Atlantic air mass that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This places the 10 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, with 9 °C and 11 °C brackets capturing the typical ensemble spread arising from small differences in cloud cover and wind speed. A modest ridge building from the southwest offers slight warming potential above 11 °C, while any deeper trough could push readings toward 8 °C; traders therefore price these three bins most heavily as the final 48-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,175Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS project Paris’s nocturnal minimum on May 17 near 8–10 °C at Le Bourget Airport, the resolution station, under persistent overcast skies and a cool Atlantic air mass that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This places the 10 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, with 9 °C and 11 °C brackets capturing the typical ensemble spread arising from small differences in cloud cover and wind speed. A modest ridge building from the southwest offers slight warming potential above 11 °C, while any deeper trough could push readings toward 8 °C; traders therefore price these three bins most heavily as the final 48-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,175Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETLatest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS project Paris’s nocturnal minimum on May 17 near 8–10 °C at Le Bourget Airport, the resolution station, under persistent overcast skies and a cool Atlantic air mass that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This places the 10 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, with 9 °C and 11 °C brackets capturing the typical ensemble spread arising from small differences in cloud cover and wind speed. A modest ridge building from the southwest offers slight warming potential above 11 °C, while any deeper trough could push readings toward 8 °C; traders therefore price these three bins most heavily as the final 48-hour window approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання