Strong consensus among Météo-France forecasts and ensemble models indicates a minimum temperature of exactly 6°C in Paris on May 16, 2026, driven by clear overnight skies that enhance radiative cooling beneath a stable high-pressure system and light northerly winds that limit mixing in the boundary layer. This configuration matches mid-May climatological norms for the Paris region, where surface lows typically settle between 5–7°C under similar synoptic conditions, supporting the market’s near-100% implied probability for the 6°C outcome. Traders are tracking the final model updates for any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or a wind shift that could raise or lower the nocturnal minimum by 1–2°C before official observations from central Paris stations finalize resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on May 16?
6°C 100.0%
0°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$15,366 Обс.
$15,366 Обс.
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C or higher
<1%
6°C 100.0%
0°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$15,366 Обс.
$15,366 Обс.
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Strong consensus among Météo-France forecasts and ensemble models indicates a minimum temperature of exactly 6°C in Paris on May 16, 2026, driven by clear overnight skies that enhance radiative cooling beneath a stable high-pressure system and light northerly winds that limit mixing in the boundary layer. This configuration matches mid-May climatological norms for the Paris region, where surface lows typically settle between 5–7°C under similar synoptic conditions, supporting the market’s near-100% implied probability for the 6°C outcome. Traders are tracking the final model updates for any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or a wind shift that could raise or lower the nocturnal minimum by 1–2°C before official observations from central Paris stations finalize resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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