Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast pins Seoul's May 15 minimum temperature at 15°C, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability amid an early summer heatwave. Unseasonably warm southerly winds and persistent clear skies under a high-pressure ridge have prevented typical nocturnal cooling, elevating overnight lows above the mid-May climatological average of 13–14°C recorded at official stations like Gimpo International Airport. Recent observations show early morning temperatures holding near 16°C feels-like, with daytime highs surpassing 30°C for several days straight, as confirmed in KMA updates and Yonhap briefings. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS aligns on minimal fluctuations, though final daily observations could refine this before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
15°C 87%
14°C 2.1%
13°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
$19,456 Обс.
$19,456 Обс.
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
87%
15°C 87%
14°C 2.1%
13°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
$19,456 Обс.
$19,456 Обс.
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
$2,237 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$1,307 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$1,786 Обс.
1%
14°C
$1,013 Обс.
2%
15°C
$803 Обс.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast pins Seoul's May 15 minimum temperature at 15°C, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability amid an early summer heatwave. Unseasonably warm southerly winds and persistent clear skies under a high-pressure ridge have prevented typical nocturnal cooling, elevating overnight lows above the mid-May climatological average of 13–14°C recorded at official stations like Gimpo International Airport. Recent observations show early morning temperatures holding near 16°C feels-like, with daytime highs surpassing 30°C for several days straight, as confirmed in KMA updates and Yonhap briefings. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS aligns on minimal fluctuations, though final daily observations could refine this before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$19,456Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast pins Seoul's May 15 minimum temperature at 15°C, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability amid an early summer heatwave. Unseasonably warm southerly winds and persistent clear skies under a high-pressure ridge have prevented typical nocturnal cooling, elevating overnight lows above the mid-May climatological average of 13–14°C recorded at official stations like Gimpo International Airport. Recent observations show early morning temperatures holding near 16°C feels-like, with daytime highs surpassing 30°C for several days straight, as confirmed in KMA updates and Yonhap briefings. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS aligns on minimal fluctuations, though final daily observations could refine this before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$19,456Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast pins Seoul's May 15 minimum temperature at 15°C, driving trader consensus to an 87% implied probability amid an early summer heatwave. Unseasonably warm southerly winds and persistent clear skies under a high-pressure ridge have prevented typical nocturnal cooling, elevating overnight lows above the mid-May climatological average of 13–14°C recorded at official stations like Gimpo International Airport. Recent observations show early morning temperatures holding near 16°C feels-like, with daytime highs surpassing 30°C for several days straight, as confirmed in KMA updates and Yonhap briefings. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS aligns on minimal fluctuations, though final daily observations could refine this before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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