Official METAR observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) record a midday peak of 22°C on May 13 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds around 15 kt, solidifying trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Morning surface data showed overnight lows near 12°C, fueling typical diurnal heating aligned with mid-May climatology—average highs of 20-22°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records—and recent ECMWF/GFS forecast consensus capping further intensification. While weather models carry inherent uncertainty, declining solar angles into evening limit realistic scenarios for exceeding 22°C, such as prolonged clearing and enhanced insolation, as final Weather Underground LTAC data determines resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on May 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 13?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,567 Обс.
$73,567 Обс.
May 13, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,567 Обс.
$73,567 Обс.
May 13, 2026
15°C or below
$1,107 Обс.
No
16°C
$2,086 Обс.
No
17°C
$1,110 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,817 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,955 Обс.
No
20°C
$7,879 Обс.
No
21°C
$8,338 Обс.
No
22°C
$15,934 Обс.
Yes
23°C
$11,909 Обс.
No
24°C
$10,314 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$10,116 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) record a midday peak of 22°C on May 13 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds around 15 kt, solidifying trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Morning surface data showed overnight lows near 12°C, fueling typical diurnal heating aligned with mid-May climatology—average highs of 20-22°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records—and recent ECMWF/GFS forecast consensus capping further intensification. While weather models carry inherent uncertainty, declining solar angles into evening limit realistic scenarios for exceeding 22°C, such as prolonged clearing and enhanced insolation, as final Weather Underground LTAC data determines resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Обсяг
$73,567Дата завершення
May 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) record a midday peak of 22°C on May 13 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds around 15 kt, solidifying trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Morning surface data showed overnight lows near 12°C, fueling typical diurnal heating aligned with mid-May climatology—average highs of 20-22°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records—and recent ECMWF/GFS forecast consensus capping further intensification. While weather models carry inherent uncertainty, declining solar angles into evening limit realistic scenarios for exceeding 22°C, such as prolonged clearing and enhanced insolation, as final Weather Underground LTAC data determines resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$73,567Дата завершення
May 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official METAR observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) record a midday peak of 22°C on May 13 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds around 15 kt, solidifying trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Morning surface data showed overnight lows near 12°C, fueling typical diurnal heating aligned with mid-May climatology—average highs of 20-22°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records—and recent ECMWF/GFS forecast consensus capping further intensification. While weather models carry inherent uncertainty, declining solar angles into evening limit realistic scenarios for exceeding 22°C, such as prolonged clearing and enhanced insolation, as final Weather Underground LTAC data determines resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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