National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) project a daytime high near 66-70°F on May 15 under sunny skies with breezy west winds at 15-20 mph, fueling the 78.5% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher as traders weigh model consensus from recent runs. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific typically moderates May highs to around 67°F climatological average via marine layer advection, but expected partial burn-off amid building high pressure supports warmer outcomes. Prior days logged cooler readings—62°F on May 12—reflecting thicker stratus decks, yet today's clearer conditions signal a rebound. Lingering low clouds could limit peaks to 64-65°F (16% odds), with hourly NWS updates and real-time observations key as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
66°F or higher 80%
64-65°F 15%
62-63°F 2.5%
60-61°F <1%
$17,881 Обс.
$17,881 Обс.
May 15, 2026
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
15%
66°F or higher
80%
66°F or higher 80%
64-65°F 15%
62-63°F 2.5%
60-61°F <1%
$17,881 Обс.
$17,881 Обс.
May 15, 2026
47°F or below
$982 Обс.
<1%
48-49°F
$900 Обс.
<1%
50-51°F
$553 Обс.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,088 Обс.
<1%
54-55°F
$3,067 Обс.
<1%
56-57°F
$2,522 Обс.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,047 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$881 Обс.
1%
62-63°F
$2,363 Обс.
3%
64-65°F
$2,329 Обс.
15%
66°F or higher
$2,182 Обс.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) project a daytime high near 66-70°F on May 15 under sunny skies with breezy west winds at 15-20 mph, fueling the 78.5% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher as traders weigh model consensus from recent runs. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific typically moderates May highs to around 67°F climatological average via marine layer advection, but expected partial burn-off amid building high pressure supports warmer outcomes. Prior days logged cooler readings—62°F on May 12—reflecting thicker stratus decks, yet today's clearer conditions signal a rebound. Lingering low clouds could limit peaks to 64-65°F (16% odds), with hourly NWS updates and real-time observations key as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,881Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) project a daytime high near 66-70°F on May 15 under sunny skies with breezy west winds at 15-20 mph, fueling the 78.5% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher as traders weigh model consensus from recent runs. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific typically moderates May highs to around 67°F climatological average via marine layer advection, but expected partial burn-off amid building high pressure supports warmer outcomes. Prior days logged cooler readings—62°F on May 12—reflecting thicker stratus decks, yet today's clearer conditions signal a rebound. Lingering low clouds could limit peaks to 64-65°F (16% odds), with hourly NWS updates and real-time observations key as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$17,881Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) project a daytime high near 66-70°F on May 15 under sunny skies with breezy west winds at 15-20 mph, fueling the 78.5% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher as traders weigh model consensus from recent runs. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific typically moderates May highs to around 67°F climatological average via marine layer advection, but expected partial burn-off amid building high pressure supports warmer outcomes. Prior days logged cooler readings—62°F on May 12—reflecting thicker stratus decks, yet today's clearer conditions signal a rebound. Lingering low clouds could limit peaks to 64-65°F (16% odds), with hourly NWS updates and real-time observations key as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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