Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C maximum temperature in Moscow on May 13, driven by robust agreement across numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside Roshydromet guidance projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C. Real-time observations from Vnukovo International Airport confirm a midday peak of 22°C, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds capping the diurnal heating cycle under current anticyclonic influence. This positioning aligns with climatological May norms around 19°C but reflects warmer advection; realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing to 23°C, though low given incoming showers and late-day cooling per hourly forecasts. Official station data will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on May 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 13?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$90,556 Обс.
$90,556 Обс.
May 13, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$90,556 Обс.
$90,556 Обс.
May 13, 2026
18°C or below
$12,327 Обс.
No
19°C
$7,657 Обс.
No
20°C
$23,855 Обс.
No
21°C
$7,807 Обс.
No
22°C
$8,603 Обс.
Yes
23°C
$7,151 Обс.
No
24°C
$4,976 Обс.
No
25°C
$4,488 Обс.
No
26°C
$4,234 Обс.
No
27°C
$4,678 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$4,779 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C maximum temperature in Moscow on May 13, driven by robust agreement across numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside Roshydromet guidance projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C. Real-time observations from Vnukovo International Airport confirm a midday peak of 22°C, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds capping the diurnal heating cycle under current anticyclonic influence. This positioning aligns with climatological May norms around 19°C but reflects warmer advection; realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing to 23°C, though low given incoming showers and late-day cooling per hourly forecasts. Official station data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Обсяг
$90,556Дата завершення
May 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C maximum temperature in Moscow on May 13, driven by robust agreement across numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside Roshydromet guidance projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C. Real-time observations from Vnukovo International Airport confirm a midday peak of 22°C, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds capping the diurnal heating cycle under current anticyclonic influence. This positioning aligns with climatological May norms around 19°C but reflects warmer advection; realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing to 23°C, though low given incoming showers and late-day cooling per hourly forecasts. Official station data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$90,556Дата завершення
May 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C maximum temperature in Moscow on May 13, driven by robust agreement across numerical weather prediction models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, alongside Roshydromet guidance projecting daytime highs of 21–23°C. Real-time observations from Vnukovo International Airport confirm a midday peak of 22°C, with partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds capping the diurnal heating cycle under current anticyclonic influence. This positioning aligns with climatological May norms around 19°C but reflects warmer advection; realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for extra insolation pushing to 23°C, though low given incoming showers and late-day cooling per hourly forecasts. Official station data will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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