Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Tel Aviv on May 13, aligned with the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of 14–26°C under partly cloudy skies following a multi-day heat wave, as seasonal norms reassert amid a significant temperature drop. NOAA global hourly observations at the official Tel Aviv station—Polymarket's resolution source—support this positioning, with morning readings building toward a midday peak near 27°C per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 28°C or stronger sea breezes capping it at 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions favor the trader-backed outcome ahead of afternoon updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 13?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$82,204 Обс.
$82,204 Обс.
May 13, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$82,204 Обс.
$82,204 Обс.
May 13, 2026
20°C or below
$2,122 Обс.
No
21°C
$1,814 Обс.
No
22°C
$2,465 Обс.
No
23°C
$2,423 Обс.
No
24°C
$4,898 Обс.
No
25°C
$7,402 Обс.
No
26°C
$11,939 Обс.
No
27°C
$11,766 Обс.
Yes
28°C
$18,491 Обс.
No
29°C
$11,131 Обс.
No
30°C or higher
$7,756 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Tel Aviv on May 13, aligned with the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of 14–26°C under partly cloudy skies following a multi-day heat wave, as seasonal norms reassert amid a significant temperature drop. NOAA global hourly observations at the official Tel Aviv station—Polymarket's resolution source—support this positioning, with morning readings building toward a midday peak near 27°C per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 28°C or stronger sea breezes capping it at 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions favor the trader-backed outcome ahead of afternoon updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 1:20 AM ET
Обсяг
$82,204Дата завершення
May 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 1:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Tel Aviv on May 13, aligned with the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of 14–26°C under partly cloudy skies following a multi-day heat wave, as seasonal norms reassert amid a significant temperature drop. NOAA global hourly observations at the official Tel Aviv station—Polymarket's resolution source—support this positioning, with morning readings building toward a midday peak near 27°C per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 28°C or stronger sea breezes capping it at 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions favor the trader-backed outcome ahead of afternoon updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$82,204Дата завершення
May 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 1:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Tel Aviv on May 13, aligned with the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecast of 14–26°C under partly cloudy skies following a multi-day heat wave, as seasonal norms reassert amid a significant temperature drop. NOAA global hourly observations at the official Tel Aviv station—Polymarket's resolution source—support this positioning, with morning readings building toward a midday peak near 27°C per model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting solar heating to 28°C or stronger sea breezes capping it at 26°C, though current atmospheric conditions favor the trader-backed outcome ahead of afternoon updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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