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icon for First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?
Політика·Вибори в США

First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

icon for First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?
Політика·Вибори в США

First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

50% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
50% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.South Carolina's special Republican Senate primary, triggered by Lindsey Graham's death shortly after his June primary victory, features a fragmented field including U.S. Reps. Russell Fry and Ralph Norman, plus Mark Lynch and Duke Buckner. Multiple viable contenders and limited time for consolidation have produced a balanced field where no candidate has yet established dominance through endorsements or polling. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether vote splitting will force a runoff or allow one contender to clear 50 percent in the initial round. Key upcoming factors include candidate debates, fundraising reports, and any late national party signals that could consolidate support before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.South Carolina's special Republican Senate primary, triggered by Lindsey Graham's death shortly after his June primary victory, features a fragmented field including U.S. Reps. Russell Fry and Ralph Norman, plus Mark Lynch and Duke Buckner. Multiple viable contenders and limited time for consolidation have produced a balanced field where no candidate has yet established dominance through endorsements or polling. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether vote splitting will force a runoff or allow one contender to clear 50 percent in the initial round. Key upcoming factors include candidate debates, fundraising reports, and any late national party signals that could consolidate support before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 7:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Часті запитання

«First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 50% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 50¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 50%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 21, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

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Поточна ймовірність для «First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?» — 50% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 50% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

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