Israel's naval blockade enforcement has repeatedly prevented Gaza-bound aid vessels from approaching its territorial waters, as demonstrated by the April 30 interception of the Global Sumud Flotilla more than 500 nautical miles offshore near Crete, where over 175 activists were detained and vessels diverted. The latest group of more than 50 boats departed Marmaris, Turkey, on May 14 for what organizers describe as the final leg, yet historical precedent and ongoing military operations indicate likely boarding or redirection well before the May 31 deadline. Traders' 64% probability on "No" reflects this established pattern of preemptive action in international waters to maintain the blockade, with no verified breakthroughs in prior attempts this year.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
$150,119 Обс.
$150,119 Обс.
May 31, 2026
$150,119 Обс.
$150,119 Обс.
May 31, 2026
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israel's naval blockade enforcement has repeatedly prevented Gaza-bound aid vessels from approaching its territorial waters, as demonstrated by the April 30 interception of the Global Sumud Flotilla more than 500 nautical miles offshore near Crete, where over 175 activists were detained and vessels diverted. The latest group of more than 50 boats departed Marmaris, Turkey, on May 14 for what organizers describe as the final leg, yet historical precedent and ongoing military operations indicate likely boarding or redirection well before the May 31 deadline. Traders' 64% probability on "No" reflects this established pattern of preemptive action in international waters to maintain the blockade, with no verified breakthroughs in prior attempts this year.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
Обсяг
$150,119Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israel's naval blockade enforcement has repeatedly prevented Gaza-bound aid vessels from approaching its territorial waters, as demonstrated by the April 30 interception of the Global Sumud Flotilla more than 500 nautical miles offshore near Crete, where over 175 activists were detained and vessels diverted. The latest group of more than 50 boats departed Marmaris, Turkey, on May 14 for what organizers describe as the final leg, yet historical precedent and ongoing military operations indicate likely boarding or redirection well before the May 31 deadline. Traders' 64% probability on "No" reflects this established pattern of preemptive action in international waters to maintain the blockade, with no verified breakthroughs in prior attempts this year.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$150,119Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's naval blockade enforcement has repeatedly prevented Gaza-bound aid vessels from approaching its territorial waters, as demonstrated by the April 30 interception of the Global Sumud Flotilla more than 500 nautical miles offshore near Crete, where over 175 activists were detained and vessels diverted. The latest group of more than 50 boats departed Marmaris, Turkey, on May 14 for what organizers describe as the final leg, yet historical precedent and ongoing military operations indicate likely boarding or redirection well before the May 31 deadline. Traders' 64% probability on "No" reflects this established pattern of preemptive action in international waters to maintain the blockade, with no verified breakthroughs in prior attempts this year.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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