Trader consensus on a "No" outcome reflects the absence of active, advanced normalization talks with any major candidate country capable of completing the required bilateral agreements, public announcements, and formal ceremonies within the remaining days before June 30. Kazakhstan's accession in late 2025 marked the most recent expansion, while subsequent U.S. diplomatic pushes toward Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others have not produced confirmed breakthroughs or accelerated timelines. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any step on progress toward Palestinian statehood, and no other states have signaled imminent readiness. An unanticipated expedited signing by a country with preexisting informal ties remains theoretically possible but would require overcoming standard procedural and political hurdles in an exceptionally short window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$67,628 Обс.
$67,628 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
$67,628 Обс.
$67,628 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on a "No" outcome reflects the absence of active, advanced normalization talks with any major candidate country capable of completing the required bilateral agreements, public announcements, and formal ceremonies within the remaining days before June 30. Kazakhstan's accession in late 2025 marked the most recent expansion, while subsequent U.S. diplomatic pushes toward Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others have not produced confirmed breakthroughs or accelerated timelines. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any step on progress toward Palestinian statehood, and no other states have signaled imminent readiness. An unanticipated expedited signing by a country with preexisting informal ties remains theoretically possible but would require overcoming standard procedural and political hurdles in an exceptionally short window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$67,628Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on a "No" outcome reflects the absence of active, advanced normalization talks with any major candidate country capable of completing the required bilateral agreements, public announcements, and formal ceremonies within the remaining days before June 30. Kazakhstan's accession in late 2025 marked the most recent expansion, while subsequent U.S. diplomatic pushes toward Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others have not produced confirmed breakthroughs or accelerated timelines. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any step on progress toward Palestinian statehood, and no other states have signaled imminent readiness. An unanticipated expedited signing by a country with preexisting informal ties remains theoretically possible but would require overcoming standard procedural and political hurdles in an exceptionally short window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$67,628Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a "No" outcome reflects the absence of active, advanced normalization talks with any major candidate country capable of completing the required bilateral agreements, public announcements, and formal ceremonies within the remaining days before June 30. Kazakhstan's accession in late 2025 marked the most recent expansion, while subsequent U.S. diplomatic pushes toward Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others have not produced confirmed breakthroughs or accelerated timelines. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any step on progress toward Palestinian statehood, and no other states have signaled imminent readiness. An unanticipated expedited signing by a country with preexisting informal ties remains theoretically possible but would require overcoming standard procedural and political hurdles in an exceptionally short window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання