Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal saga, particularly the mistrial declared in his latest New York rape retrial after a hung jury, have sharply boosted trader consensus toward no additional prison time. With the former producer already serving a 16-year California sentence from his 2022 conviction while appealing that verdict and facing potential sentencing on an upheld New York sexual assault count, markets now price in limited upside from further Manhattan proceedings. Persistent health concerns and repeated appeals have introduced uncertainty around effective time served, outweighing historical #MeToo-era momentum for maximum penalties. Upcoming catalysts include final resolution of the California appeal and any plea negotiations on unresolved New York charges that could cap or run sentences concurrently.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоГарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?
Гарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?
Без тюремного ув’язнення 79.1%
<5 years 5.1%
5–10 років 4.2%
20-30 років 4.2%
$991,287 Обс.
$991,287 Обс.
Dec 31, 2025
Без тюремного ув’язнення
79%
<5 years
5%
5–10 років
4%
10-20 years
3%
20-30 років
4%
Понад 30 років
2%
Без тюремного ув’язнення 79.1%
<5 years 5.1%
5–10 років 4.2%
20-30 років 4.2%
$991,287 Обс.
$991,287 Обс.
Dec 31, 2025
Без тюремного ув’язнення
$349,079 Обс.
79%
<5 years
$131,345 Обс.
5%
5–10 років
$79,813 Обс.
4%
10-20 years
$158,966 Обс.
3%
20-30 років
$199,610 Обс.
4%
Понад 30 років
$72,473 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal saga, particularly the mistrial declared in his latest New York rape retrial after a hung jury, have sharply boosted trader consensus toward no additional prison time. With the former producer already serving a 16-year California sentence from his 2022 conviction while appealing that verdict and facing potential sentencing on an upheld New York sexual assault count, markets now price in limited upside from further Manhattan proceedings. Persistent health concerns and repeated appeals have introduced uncertainty around effective time served, outweighing historical #MeToo-era momentum for maximum penalties. Upcoming catalysts include final resolution of the California appeal and any plea negotiations on unresolved New York charges that could cap or run sentences concurrently.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$991,287Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2025Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal saga, particularly the mistrial declared in his latest New York rape retrial after a hung jury, have sharply boosted trader consensus toward no additional prison time. With the former producer already serving a 16-year California sentence from his 2022 conviction while appealing that verdict and facing potential sentencing on an upheld New York sexual assault count, markets now price in limited upside from further Manhattan proceedings. Persistent health concerns and repeated appeals have introduced uncertainty around effective time served, outweighing historical #MeToo-era momentum for maximum penalties. Upcoming catalysts include final resolution of the California appeal and any plea negotiations on unresolved New York charges that could cap or run sentences concurrently.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$991,287Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2025Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in Harvey Weinstein’s ongoing legal saga, particularly the mistrial declared in his latest New York rape retrial after a hung jury, have sharply boosted trader consensus toward no additional prison time. With the former producer already serving a 16-year California sentence from his 2022 conviction while appealing that verdict and facing potential sentencing on an upheld New York sexual assault count, markets now price in limited upside from further Manhattan proceedings. Persistent health concerns and repeated appeals have introduced uncertainty around effective time served, outweighing historical #MeToo-era momentum for maximum penalties. Upcoming catalysts include final resolution of the California appeal and any plea negotiations on unresolved New York charges that could cap or run sentences concurrently.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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