Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 10?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 10?
27°C 42%
26°C 29%
28°C 19.3%
25°C 11.6%
НОВЕ
$31,387 Обс.
НОВЕ
$31,387 Обс.
Jul 10, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
12%
26°C
29%
27°C
42%
28°C
19%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 29%
28°C 19.3%
25°C 11.6%
НОВЕ
$31,387 Обс.
НОВЕ
$31,387 Обс.
Jul 10, 2026
22°C or below
$635 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,325 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$4,391 Обс.
1%
25°C
$2,604 Обс.
12%
26°C
$4,397 Обс.
29%
27°C
$9,476 Обс.
42%
28°C
$3,586 Обс.
19%
29°C
$1,663 Обс.
1%
30°C
$1,562 Обс.
1%
31°C
$718 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,039 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,387Дата завершення
Jul 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$31,387Дата завершення
Jul 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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