Official NWS and model guidance for Austin on July 3 favor a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies amid persistent upper-level ridging and above-average warmth across central Texas. This supports the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 36% implied probability, with 94-95°F close behind due to minor forecast spread from variable low-level moisture or afternoon cumulus development that could shave 1-2°F off peak readings. Recent observations confirm the ongoing heat dome, consistent with climatological July averages near 96°F but elevated this week by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Traders weigh the narrow window between bins against the next model runs and any late adjustments from steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on July 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 3?
96-97°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$37,950 Обс.
$37,950 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$37,950 Обс.
$37,950 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
89°F or below
$3,322 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,104 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$4,301 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$7,790 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$4,603 Обс.
100%
98-99°F
$3,924 Обс.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,589 Обс.
<1%
102-103°F
$1,822 Обс.
<1%
104-105°F
$4,308 Обс.
<1%
106-107°F
$2,607 Обс.
<1%
108°F or higher
$1,579 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS and model guidance for Austin on July 3 favor a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies amid persistent upper-level ridging and above-average warmth across central Texas. This supports the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 36% implied probability, with 94-95°F close behind due to minor forecast spread from variable low-level moisture or afternoon cumulus development that could shave 1-2°F off peak readings. Recent observations confirm the ongoing heat dome, consistent with climatological July averages near 96°F but elevated this week by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Traders weigh the narrow window between bins against the next model runs and any late adjustments from steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$37,950Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS and model guidance for Austin on July 3 favor a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies amid persistent upper-level ridging and above-average warmth across central Texas. This supports the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 36% implied probability, with 94-95°F close behind due to minor forecast spread from variable low-level moisture or afternoon cumulus development that could shave 1-2°F off peak readings. Recent observations confirm the ongoing heat dome, consistent with climatological July averages near 96°F but elevated this week by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Traders weigh the narrow window between bins against the next model runs and any late adjustments from steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$37,950Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS and model guidance for Austin on July 3 favor a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies amid persistent upper-level ridging and above-average warmth across central Texas. This supports the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 36% implied probability, with 94-95°F close behind due to minor forecast spread from variable low-level moisture or afternoon cumulus development that could shave 1-2°F off peak readings. Recent observations confirm the ongoing heat dome, consistent with climatological July averages near 96°F but elevated this week by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Traders weigh the narrow window between bins against the next model runs and any late adjustments from steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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