Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on July 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 11?
30°C 25%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 13%
НОВЕ
$13,032 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,032 Обс.
Jul 11, 2026
27°C or below
10%
28°C
13%
29°C
21%
30°C
25%
31°C
21%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 25%
29°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 13%
НОВЕ
$13,032 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,032 Обс.
Jul 11, 2026
27°C or below
$1,423 Обс.
10%
28°C
$777 Обс.
13%
29°C
$1,509 Обс.
21%
30°C
$920 Обс.
25%
31°C
$2,431 Обс.
21%
32°C
$2,212 Обс.
8%
33°C
$1,788 Обс.
3%
34°C
$618 Обс.
1%
35°C
$370 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$456 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$552 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,032Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,032Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty from numerical weather models, particularly around cloud cover, humidity, and thunderstorm timing on July 11, drives the tight clustering of trader odds between 29°C and 32°C. Beijing’s summer monsoon-influenced pattern often brings scattered convection that reduces solar insolation and caps daily maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C, with recent model consensus showing variable precipitation chances that could shift highs by 2–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details in the next 48 hours, directly impacting resolution as traders weigh urban heat-island effects against potential cooling from rain.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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