Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds across Chongqing on October 7, supporting a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C in the urban basin. This aligns with the seasonal transition from the humid subtropical regime, where October averages have declined from summer peaks above 33 °C, and recent clear spells have allowed efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. Trader consensus at 29 °C reflects the narrow range of official guidance and historical October maxima clustered around this value. A shift to greater afternoon cloudiness or stronger advection of cooler air could cap readings at 27 °C or below, while localized urban heat effects or measurement at a warmer microsite remain the main variables that could push the recorded high to 30 °C.