Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Istanbul on July 13, 2026, aligning with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, is the dominant cooling mechanism keeping outcomes in the mid-20s most probable, while clearer skies or weaker winds could allow 28–29°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up and exact steering of the subtropical ridge, with Turkish State Meteorological Service updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution. Trader distribution, heaviest at 25–26°C, reflects these variables and the narrow historical range for early-to-mid July.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 13?
26°C 34%
27°C 18%
25°C 17%
24°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 13, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24°C
9%
25°C
17%
26°C
34%
27°C
18%
28°C
7%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 18%
25°C 17%
24°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 13, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$5 Обс.
5%
23°C
$0 Обс.
6%
24°C
$0 Обс.
9%
25°C
$8 Обс.
17%
26°C
$12 Обс.
34%
27°C
$0 Обс.
18%
28°C
$0 Обс.
7%
29°C
$0 Обс.
6%
30°C
$43 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$41 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Istanbul on July 13, 2026, aligning with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, is the dominant cooling mechanism keeping outcomes in the mid-20s most probable, while clearer skies or weaker winds could allow 28–29°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up and exact steering of the subtropical ridge, with Turkish State Meteorological Service updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution. Trader distribution, heaviest at 25–26°C, reflects these variables and the narrow historical range for early-to-mid July.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$114Дата завершення
Jul 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Istanbul on July 13, 2026, aligning with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, is the dominant cooling mechanism keeping outcomes in the mid-20s most probable, while clearer skies or weaker winds could allow 28–29°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up and exact steering of the subtropical ridge, with Turkish State Meteorological Service updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution. Trader distribution, heaviest at 25–26°C, reflects these variables and the narrow historical range for early-to-mid July.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$114Дата завершення
Jul 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a daily maximum near 27–28°C for Istanbul on July 13, 2026, aligning with mid-month climatology of 27–29°C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Marmara and Black Seas, combined with modest northerly flow, is the dominant cooling mechanism keeping outcomes in the mid-20s most probable, while clearer skies or weaker winds could allow 28–29°C. Short-range forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud build-up and exact steering of the subtropical ridge, with Turkish State Meteorological Service updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution. Trader distribution, heaviest at 25–26°C, reflects these variables and the narrow historical range for early-to-mid July.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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