Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on June 30, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating amid the seasonal transition to summer. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderate afternoon maxima while urban heat island effects and variable humidity add small upward biases, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins. Historical climatology shows late-June highs averaging near 26–28°C with low interannual variability this time of year, but short-range model runs still exhibit spread tied to the precise timing of any weak trough or insolation changes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 27°C versus 28°C margin as resolution criteria hinge on official station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 30?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 30?
28°C 45%
27°C 37%
29°C 15%
26°C 6%
НОВЕ
$12,267 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,267 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
37%
28°C
45%
29°C
15%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 45%
27°C 37%
29°C 15%
26°C 6%
НОВЕ
$12,267 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,267 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
23°C or below
$255 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$215 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$137 Обс.
2%
26°C
$260 Обс.
6%
27°C
$5,167 Обс.
37%
28°C
$5,025 Обс.
45%
29°C
$566 Обс.
15%
30°C
$125 Обс.
1%
31°C
$183 Обс.
1%
32°C
$145 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$190 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on June 30, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating amid the seasonal transition to summer. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderate afternoon maxima while urban heat island effects and variable humidity add small upward biases, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins. Historical climatology shows late-June highs averaging near 26–28°C with low interannual variability this time of year, but short-range model runs still exhibit spread tied to the precise timing of any weak trough or insolation changes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 27°C versus 28°C margin as resolution criteria hinge on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,267Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on June 30, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating amid the seasonal transition to summer. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderate afternoon maxima while urban heat island effects and variable humidity add small upward biases, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins. Historical climatology shows late-June highs averaging near 26–28°C with low interannual variability this time of year, but short-range model runs still exhibit spread tied to the precise timing of any weak trough or insolation changes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 27°C versus 28°C margin as resolution criteria hinge on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,267Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast model consensus from agencies including ECMWF and GFS points to a peak temperature of 27–28°C in Istanbul on June 30, driven by moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating amid the seasonal transition to summer. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderate afternoon maxima while urban heat island effects and variable humidity add small upward biases, creating tight differentiation between adjacent bins. Historical climatology shows late-June highs averaging near 26–28°C with low interannual variability this time of year, but short-range model runs still exhibit spread tied to the precise timing of any weak trough or insolation changes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 27°C versus 28°C margin as resolution criteria hinge on official station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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