Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on June 30?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 30?
21°C 39%
22°C 32%
20°C 19%
19°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2026
16°C or below
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
18%
20°C
19%
21°C
39%
22°C
32%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
3%
21°C 39%
22°C 32%
20°C 19%
19°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2026
16°C or below
$32 Обс.
3%
17°C
$32 Обс.
3%
18°C
$0 Обс.
7%
19°C
$0 Обс.
18%
20°C
$0 Обс.
19%
21°C
$25 Обс.
39%
22°C
$19 Обс.
32%
23°C
$0 Обс.
6%
24°C
$280 Обс.
4%
25°C
$280 Обс.
4%
26°C or higher
$32 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$700Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$700Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Seoul on June 30 likely near 19–21°C, driven by rising humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, increased cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling, and warm southerly flow. These conditions differentiate close outcomes around 20–22°C, as small shifts in timing of showers or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily low by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows late-June lows averaging near 19–21°C, with urban heat island effects in Seoul often moderating extremes. Traders weigh ensemble spreads and upcoming model runs, which introduce the observed uncertainty between leading probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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