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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 30?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 30?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 30?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 30?

Jun 26

Jun 27

Jun 28

Jun 29

Jun 26

Jun 27

Jun 28

Jun 29

27°C 41%

28°C 38%

29°C 7%

32°C or higher 6.0%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

27°C 41%

28°C 38%

29°C 7%

32°C or higher 6.0%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

22°C or below

$55 Обс.

1%

23°C

$48 Обс.

3%

24°C

$48 Обс.

3%

25°C

$48 Обс.

1%

26°C

$5 Обс.

5%

27°C

$40 Обс.

41%

28°C

$83 Обс.

38%

29°C

$10 Обс.

7%

30°C

$48 Обс.

3%

31°C

$48 Обс.

3%

32°C or higher

$48 Обс.

6%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus forecasts point to typical late-June subtropical conditions, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly flow, keeping the minimum temperature near 27–28 °C on 30 June. Seasonal outlooks already indicate above-normal temperatures for the month, and no approaching trough, typhoon, or frontal system is expected to enhance cooling or introduce variability before resolution. Historical June minima average 26–27 °C, so the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes reflects modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed rather than any dramatic shift in the synoptic pattern.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$482
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus forecasts point to typical late-June subtropical conditions, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light southerly flow, keeping the minimum temperature near 27–28 °C on 30 June. Seasonal outlooks already indicate above-normal temperatures for the month, and no approaching trough, typhoon, or frontal system is expected to enhance cooling or introduce variability before resolution. Historical June minima average 26–27 °C, so the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes reflects modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed rather than any dramatic shift in the synoptic pattern.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$482
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «27°C» з 41%, далі «28°C» з 38%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 30?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 28, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 30?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 30?» — «27°C» з 41%. Наступний — «28°C» з 38%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.