Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 30 near 21–22 °C, creating the tight 50 % market split between those two outcomes. Nighttime radiative cooling will be modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer wind speeds: clearer skies and lighter winds promote stronger long-wave heat loss and lower minima, while increased low-level moisture or a strengthening sea breeze reduces cooling and favors 22 °C. With the Pacific high building and the rainy season tapering, forecasters anticipate modest day-to-day adjustments in humidity and cloud fields that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 30?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 30?
21°C 38%
22°C 38%
19°C 18%
20°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2026
16°C or below
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
18%
20°C
16%
21°C
49%
22°C
52%
23°C
16%
24°C
11%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 38%
22°C 38%
19°C 18%
20°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2026
16°C or below
$48 Обс.
3%
17°C
$48 Обс.
3%
18°C
$48 Обс.
3%
19°C
$0 Обс.
18%
20°C
$0 Обс.
16%
21°C
$6 Обс.
49%
22°C
$36 Обс.
52%
23°C
$0 Обс.
16%
24°C
$0 Обс.
11%
25°C
$287 Обс.
2%
26°C or higher
$98 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 30 near 21–22 °C, creating the tight 50 % market split between those two outcomes. Nighttime radiative cooling will be modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer wind speeds: clearer skies and lighter winds promote stronger long-wave heat loss and lower minima, while increased low-level moisture or a strengthening sea breeze reduces cooling and favors 22 °C. With the Pacific high building and the rainy season tapering, forecasters anticipate modest day-to-day adjustments in humidity and cloud fields that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$571Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 30 near 21–22 °C, creating the tight 50 % market split between those two outcomes. Nighttime radiative cooling will be modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer wind speeds: clearer skies and lighter winds promote stronger long-wave heat loss and lower minima, while increased low-level moisture or a strengthening sea breeze reduces cooling and favors 22 °C. With the Pacific high building and the rainy season tapering, forecasters anticipate modest day-to-day adjustments in humidity and cloud fields that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$571Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 30 near 21–22 °C, creating the tight 50 % market split between those two outcomes. Nighttime radiative cooling will be modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer wind speeds: clearer skies and lighter winds promote stronger long-wave heat loss and lower minima, while increased low-level moisture or a strengthening sea breeze reduces cooling and favors 22 °C. With the Pacific high building and the rainy season tapering, forecasters anticipate modest day-to-day adjustments in humidity and cloud fields that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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