Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a daily high near 26–28°C for Istanbul on September 4, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, limited cloud cover allowing moderate solar heating, and the seasonal decline in insolation as the region transitions from summer. Official guidance highlights stable high pressure and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius that cap daytime peaks, positioning 26°C as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs show minimal disagreement on timing or magnitude, with only slight upward revisions possible if winds slacken further; traders appear to weight the most recent ensemble consensus heavily given the short forecast horizon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 4?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 4?
26°C 56%
27°C 27%
25°C 13%
28°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
13%
26°C
56%
27°C
27%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 56%
27°C 27%
25°C 13%
28°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
22°C or below
$85 Обс.
1%
23°C
$185 Обс.
1%
24°C
$170 Обс.
2%
25°C
$589 Обс.
13%
26°C
$562 Обс.
56%
27°C
$502 Обс.
27%
28°C
$93 Обс.
4%
29°C
$188 Обс.
1%
30°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$11 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a daily high near 26–28°C for Istanbul on September 4, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, limited cloud cover allowing moderate solar heating, and the seasonal decline in insolation as the region transitions from summer. Official guidance highlights stable high pressure and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius that cap daytime peaks, positioning 26°C as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs show minimal disagreement on timing or magnitude, with only slight upward revisions possible if winds slacken further; traders appear to weight the most recent ensemble consensus heavily given the short forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,389Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a daily high near 26–28°C for Istanbul on September 4, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, limited cloud cover allowing moderate solar heating, and the seasonal decline in insolation as the region transitions from summer. Official guidance highlights stable high pressure and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius that cap daytime peaks, positioning 26°C as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs show minimal disagreement on timing or magnitude, with only slight upward revisions possible if winds slacken further; traders appear to weight the most recent ensemble consensus heavily given the short forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,389Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a daily high near 26–28°C for Istanbul on September 4, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, limited cloud cover allowing moderate solar heating, and the seasonal decline in insolation as the region transitions from summer. Official guidance highlights stable high pressure and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius that cap daytime peaks, positioning 26°C as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs show minimal disagreement on timing or magnitude, with only slight upward revisions possible if winds slacken further; traders appear to weight the most recent ensemble consensus heavily given the short forecast horizon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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