Jeddah's July climatology, with average daily highs near 37°C driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and strong radiative heating over the Red Sea, underpins the market's concentration of implied probability on 36–38°C outcomes for July 14. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show stable northwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover through mid-month, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than anomalous heat or cooling from transient moisture surges. Short-range ensemble guidance indicates modest day-to-day variability tied to boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze effects, with the highest daily maximum likely falling between 36–38°C absent unexpected synoptic shifts. Updated model cycles and official Saudi meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on July 14?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 14?
38°C or higher 48%
37°C 41%
36°C 8%
35°C 2.6%
НОВЕ
$13,038 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,038 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
8%
37°C
41%
38°C or higher
48%
38°C or higher 48%
37°C 41%
36°C 8%
35°C 2.6%
НОВЕ
$13,038 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,038 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
28°C or below
$453 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$278 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$403 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$256 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$495 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$1,336 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$828 Обс.
1%
35°C
$1,533 Обс.
3%
36°C
$2,259 Обс.
8%
37°C
$1,226 Обс.
41%
38°C or higher
$3,973 Обс.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jeddah's July climatology, with average daily highs near 37°C driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and strong radiative heating over the Red Sea, underpins the market's concentration of implied probability on 36–38°C outcomes for July 14. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show stable northwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover through mid-month, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than anomalous heat or cooling from transient moisture surges. Short-range ensemble guidance indicates modest day-to-day variability tied to boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze effects, with the highest daily maximum likely falling between 36–38°C absent unexpected synoptic shifts. Updated model cycles and official Saudi meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,038Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jeddah's July climatology, with average daily highs near 37°C driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and strong radiative heating over the Red Sea, underpins the market's concentration of implied probability on 36–38°C outcomes for July 14. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show stable northwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover through mid-month, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than anomalous heat or cooling from transient moisture surges. Short-range ensemble guidance indicates modest day-to-day variability tied to boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze effects, with the highest daily maximum likely falling between 36–38°C absent unexpected synoptic shifts. Updated model cycles and official Saudi meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,038Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jeddah's July climatology, with average daily highs near 37°C driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and strong radiative heating over the Red Sea, underpins the market's concentration of implied probability on 36–38°C outcomes for July 14. Recent numerical weather prediction runs show stable northwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover through mid-month, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than anomalous heat or cooling from transient moisture surges. Short-range ensemble guidance indicates modest day-to-day variability tied to boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze effects, with the highest daily maximum likely falling between 36–38°C absent unexpected synoptic shifts. Updated model cycles and official Saudi meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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