**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 3 highest temperature centers on 34°C (37.5% implied probability) and 35°C (25.0%), reflecting expectations of typical early-July peak conditions amid the transition to monsoon influences.** Karachi's coastal setting on the Arabian Sea provides natural moderation through sea breezes and high humidity, keeping daily highs from extreme inland levels even during the hot season. Historical July averages hover near 33°C, with model guidance and agency outlooks (including PMD) pointing to 31–34°C ranges for early July 2026 as monsoon rains onset in the first week. This timing often introduces cloud cover, scattered showers, and increased moisture that can cap afternoon maxima while sustaining heat indices. Recent June data showed above-normal temperatures (highs frequently 34–36°C+), establishing a warm baseline that traders appear to extrapolate slightly upward for July 3 before fuller monsoon suppression takes hold. The distribution—with over 60% probability mass between 33–35°C and minimal weight on extremes—captures uncertainty in exact steering patterns, local convection, and the precise timing of rain-cooled air masses. New forecast updates from NOAA, PMD, or ECMWF model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on July 3?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 3?
35°C 41%
34°C 38%
33°C 7%
36°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 3, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
7%
34°C
38%
35°C
41%
36°C
7%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 41%
34°C 38%
33°C 7%
36°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 3, 2026
29°C or below
$10 Обс.
1%
30°C
$15 Обс.
1%
31°C
$10 Обс.
2%
32°C
$11 Обс.
5%
33°C
$47 Обс.
7%
34°C
$12 Обс.
38%
35°C
$369 Обс.
41%
36°C
$0 Обс.
7%
37°C
$0 Обс.
5%
38°C
$13 Обс.
2%
39°C or higher
$260 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 3 highest temperature centers on 34°C (37.5% implied probability) and 35°C (25.0%), reflecting expectations of typical early-July peak conditions amid the transition to monsoon influences.**
Karachi's coastal setting on the Arabian Sea provides natural moderation through sea breezes and high humidity, keeping daily highs from extreme inland levels even during the hot season. Historical July averages hover near 33°C, with model guidance and agency outlooks (including PMD) pointing to 31–34°C ranges for early July 2026 as monsoon rains onset in the first week. This timing often introduces cloud cover, scattered showers, and increased moisture that can cap afternoon maxima while sustaining heat indices.
Recent June data showed above-normal temperatures (highs frequently 34–36°C+), establishing a warm baseline that traders appear to extrapolate slightly upward for July 3 before fuller monsoon suppression takes hold. The distribution—with over 60% probability mass between 33–35°C and minimal weight on extremes—captures uncertainty in exact steering patterns, local convection, and the precise timing of rain-cooled air masses. New forecast updates from NOAA, PMD, or ECMWF model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$741Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 3 highest temperature centers on 34°C (37.5% implied probability) and 35°C (25.0%), reflecting expectations of typical early-July peak conditions amid the transition to monsoon influences.**
Karachi's coastal setting on the Arabian Sea provides natural moderation through sea breezes and high humidity, keeping daily highs from extreme inland levels even during the hot season. Historical July averages hover near 33°C, with model guidance and agency outlooks (including PMD) pointing to 31–34°C ranges for early July 2026 as monsoon rains onset in the first week. This timing often introduces cloud cover, scattered showers, and increased moisture that can cap afternoon maxima while sustaining heat indices.
Recent June data showed above-normal temperatures (highs frequently 34–36°C+), establishing a warm baseline that traders appear to extrapolate slightly upward for July 3 before fuller monsoon suppression takes hold. The distribution—with over 60% probability mass between 33–35°C and minimal weight on extremes—captures uncertainty in exact steering patterns, local convection, and the precise timing of rain-cooled air masses. New forecast updates from NOAA, PMD, or ECMWF model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$741Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 3 highest temperature centers on 34°C (37.5% implied probability) and 35°C (25.0%), reflecting expectations of typical early-July peak conditions amid the transition to monsoon influences.** Karachi's coastal setting on the Arabian Sea provides natural moderation through sea breezes and high humidity, keeping daily highs from extreme inland levels even during the hot season. Historical July averages hover near 33°C, with model guidance and agency outlooks (including PMD) pointing to 31–34°C ranges for early July 2026 as monsoon rains onset in the first week. This timing often introduces cloud cover, scattered showers, and increased moisture that can cap afternoon maxima while sustaining heat indices. Recent June data showed above-normal temperatures (highs frequently 34–36°C+), establishing a warm baseline that traders appear to extrapolate slightly upward for July 3 before fuller monsoon suppression takes hold. The distribution—with over 60% probability mass between 33–35°C and minimal weight on extremes—captures uncertainty in exact steering patterns, local convection, and the precise timing of rain-cooled air masses. New forecast updates from NOAA, PMD, or ECMWF model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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