Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 11?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 11?
32°C 27%
31°C 22%
33°C 17%
30°C 11%
НОВЕ
$11,780 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,780 Обс.
Jul 11, 2026
29°C or below
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
22%
32°C
27%
33°C
17%
34°C
10%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 27%
31°C 22%
33°C 17%
30°C 11%
НОВЕ
$11,780 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,780 Обс.
Jul 11, 2026
29°C or below
$783 Обс.
5%
30°C
$479 Обс.
11%
31°C
$471 Обс.
22%
32°C
$850 Обс.
27%
33°C
$3,396 Обс.
17%
34°C
$2,489 Обс.
10%
35°C
$1,197 Обс.
4%
36°C
$168 Обс.
1%
37°C
$339 Обс.
1%
38°C
$751 Обс.
<1%
39°C or higher
$857 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,780Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,780Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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