Current forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila will reach a daytime high near 32°C on August 22 amid southwest monsoon flow, with partly cloudy skies, isolated showers, and moderate winds limiting stronger surface heating while maintaining typical August humidity levels around 70-85%. This aligns with climatological baselines of 30-32°C highs during the rainy season and recent observational data showing similar peaks without extreme clear-sky amplification. The market's 100% consensus on 32°C reflects traders' assessment of model consensus and low variability in steering patterns. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or delayed monsoon rains could push readings higher, while heavier convective activity or stronger winds might cap the maximum below this threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 22?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 22?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$19,894 Обс.
$19,894 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$19,894 Обс.
$19,894 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
$372 Обс.
No
26°C
$372 Обс.
No
27°C
$419 Обс.
No
28°C
$941 Обс.
No
29°C
$1,058 Обс.
No
30°C
$2,635 Обс.
No
31°C
$4,751 Обс.
No
32°C
$4,706 Обс.
Yes
33°C
$3,036 Обс.
No
34°C
$1,156 Обс.
No
35°C or higher
$447 Обс.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila will reach a daytime high near 32°C on August 22 amid southwest monsoon flow, with partly cloudy skies, isolated showers, and moderate winds limiting stronger surface heating while maintaining typical August humidity levels around 70-85%. This aligns with climatological baselines of 30-32°C highs during the rainy season and recent observational data showing similar peaks without extreme clear-sky amplification. The market's 100% consensus on 32°C reflects traders' assessment of model consensus and low variability in steering patterns. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or delayed monsoon rains could push readings higher, while heavier convective activity or stronger winds might cap the maximum below this threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,894Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila will reach a daytime high near 32°C on August 22 amid southwest monsoon flow, with partly cloudy skies, isolated showers, and moderate winds limiting stronger surface heating while maintaining typical August humidity levels around 70-85%. This aligns with climatological baselines of 30-32°C highs during the rainy season and recent observational data showing similar peaks without extreme clear-sky amplification. The market's 100% consensus on 32°C reflects traders' assessment of model consensus and low variability in steering patterns. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or delayed monsoon rains could push readings higher, while heavier convective activity or stronger winds might cap the maximum below this threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$19,894Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Current forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila will reach a daytime high near 32°C on August 22 amid southwest monsoon flow, with partly cloudy skies, isolated showers, and moderate winds limiting stronger surface heating while maintaining typical August humidity levels around 70-85%. This aligns with climatological baselines of 30-32°C highs during the rainy season and recent observational data showing similar peaks without extreme clear-sky amplification. The market's 100% consensus on 32°C reflects traders' assessment of model consensus and low variability in steering patterns. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or delayed monsoon rains could push readings higher, while heavier convective activity or stronger winds might cap the maximum below this threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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