Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on July 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 15?
25°C 39%
24°C 32%
26°C 15%
23°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
14%
24°C
32%
25°C
39%
26°C
15%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 39%
24°C 32%
26°C 15%
23°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 15, 2026
19°C or below
$1,636 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$263 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$343 Обс.
2%
22°C
$423 Обс.
2%
23°C
$305 Обс.
14%
24°C
$321 Обс.
32%
25°C
$397 Обс.
39%
26°C
$413 Обс.
15%
27°C
$488 Обс.
4%
28°C
$435 Обс.
1%
29°C or higher
$558 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,874Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,874Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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