**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C high in Panama City, Panama, on June 17, 2026 (99.5% implied probability), well below the typical June maximum of ~29–30°C.** This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions dominated by widespread cloud cover and persistent rainfall, which limit incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling effects that normally drive afternoon peaks. Official forecasts indicate rain most of the day with highs near 84°F (~29°C) under overcast skies, but real-time trader assessment of model outputs and early observations points to even stronger suppression, keeping the daily maximum at or below 27°C. Climatological context from INAMEH and regional reanalysis shows June highs in Panama City average near 30°C when convection is limited, but increased moisture and organized precipitation—common during the early wet season—reduce surface heating by 2–4°C on many days. The market’s near-certainty around 27°C aligns with this mechanism, as traders weigh skin-in-the-game incentives to accurately price the most probable outcome given the latest guidance. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing of cloud decks or a shift in steering patterns that allows brief periods of strong insolation, potentially adding 1–2°C. However, with the day already underway and models showing continued rain, such deviations appear low-probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on June 17?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 17?
27°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
31°C <1%
$23,140 Обс.
$23,140 Обс.
Jun 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
31°C <1%
$23,140 Обс.
$23,140 Обс.
Jun 17, 2026
25°C or below
$4,085 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,899 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$4,404 Обс.
100%
28°C
$3,300 Обс.
1%
29°C
$1,675 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$2,377 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$2,768 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$1,274 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$400 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$800 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$158 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C high in Panama City, Panama, on June 17, 2026 (99.5% implied probability), well below the typical June maximum of ~29–30°C.** This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions dominated by widespread cloud cover and persistent rainfall, which limit incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling effects that normally drive afternoon peaks. Official forecasts indicate rain most of the day with highs near 84°F (~29°C) under overcast skies, but real-time trader assessment of model outputs and early observations points to even stronger suppression, keeping the daily maximum at or below 27°C.
Climatological context from INAMEH and regional reanalysis shows June highs in Panama City average near 30°C when convection is limited, but increased moisture and organized precipitation—common during the early wet season—reduce surface heating by 2–4°C on many days. The market’s near-certainty around 27°C aligns with this mechanism, as traders weigh skin-in-the-game incentives to accurately price the most probable outcome given the latest guidance.
Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing of cloud decks or a shift in steering patterns that allows brief periods of strong insolation, potentially adding 1–2°C. However, with the day already underway and models showing continued rain, such deviations appear low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$23,140Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C high in Panama City, Panama, on June 17, 2026 (99.5% implied probability), well below the typical June maximum of ~29–30°C.** This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions dominated by widespread cloud cover and persistent rainfall, which limit incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling effects that normally drive afternoon peaks. Official forecasts indicate rain most of the day with highs near 84°F (~29°C) under overcast skies, but real-time trader assessment of model outputs and early observations points to even stronger suppression, keeping the daily maximum at or below 27°C.
Climatological context from INAMEH and regional reanalysis shows June highs in Panama City average near 30°C when convection is limited, but increased moisture and organized precipitation—common during the early wet season—reduce surface heating by 2–4°C on many days. The market’s near-certainty around 27°C aligns with this mechanism, as traders weigh skin-in-the-game incentives to accurately price the most probable outcome given the latest guidance.
Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing of cloud decks or a shift in steering patterns that allows brief periods of strong insolation, potentially adding 1–2°C. However, with the day already underway and models showing continued rain, such deviations appear low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$23,140Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C high in Panama City, Panama, on June 17, 2026 (99.5% implied probability), well below the typical June maximum of ~29–30°C.** This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions dominated by widespread cloud cover and persistent rainfall, which limit incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling effects that normally drive afternoon peaks. Official forecasts indicate rain most of the day with highs near 84°F (~29°C) under overcast skies, but real-time trader assessment of model outputs and early observations points to even stronger suppression, keeping the daily maximum at or below 27°C. Climatological context from INAMEH and regional reanalysis shows June highs in Panama City average near 30°C when convection is limited, but increased moisture and organized precipitation—common during the early wet season—reduce surface heating by 2–4°C on many days. The market’s near-certainty around 27°C aligns with this mechanism, as traders weigh skin-in-the-game incentives to accurately price the most probable outcome given the latest guidance. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing of cloud decks or a shift in steering patterns that allows brief periods of strong insolation, potentially adding 1–2°C. However, with the day already underway and models showing continued rain, such deviations appear low-probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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