Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific kept San Francisco's August 14 high tightly constrained near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 70–71°F at downtown stations. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines of 67–70°F for mid-August and recent model guidance from NOAA showing limited warming due to persistent stratus and modest 925 mb temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the closed observational record, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected station anomaly or post hoc data adjustment could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible probability given multiple verified reporting sites.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 14?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 14?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$46,164 Обс.
$46,164 Обс.
Aug 14, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$46,164 Обс.
$46,164 Обс.
Aug 14, 2026
59°F or below
$1,047 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$1,078 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$1,788 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$3,685 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$12,106 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$9,299 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$7,310 Обс.
Yes
72-73°F
$4,627 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$3,372 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$1,514 Обс.
No
78°F or higher
$337 Обс.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific kept San Francisco's August 14 high tightly constrained near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 70–71°F at downtown stations. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines of 67–70°F for mid-August and recent model guidance from NOAA showing limited warming due to persistent stratus and modest 925 mb temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the closed observational record, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected station anomaly or post hoc data adjustment could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible probability given multiple verified reporting sites.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$46,164Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific kept San Francisco's August 14 high tightly constrained near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 70–71°F at downtown stations. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines of 67–70°F for mid-August and recent model guidance from NOAA showing limited warming due to persistent stratus and modest 925 mb temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the closed observational record, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected station anomaly or post hoc data adjustment could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible probability given multiple verified reporting sites.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$46,164Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific kept San Francisco's August 14 high tightly constrained near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 70–71°F at downtown stations. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines of 67–70°F for mid-August and recent model guidance from NOAA showing limited warming due to persistent stratus and modest 925 mb temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the closed observational record, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected station anomaly or post hoc data adjustment could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible probability given multiple verified reporting sites.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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